Optimism for Spanish and Canarian property market.

Optimism returns to Tenerife and Spain's property market

Optimism returns to Tenerife and Spain's property market

The price of re-sale property in Spain and the Canary Islands increased in January for the first time in 24 months, according to   figures and other reports suggest there are tentative signs that part of the country’s battered real estate market is coming back to life.

Prices rose by 0.6% on average, with the regions of Cataluña, and La Rioja seeing the greatest recovery in price at 4.6% and 4.5%, according to figures from the real estate portal fotocasa.es.

Property prices also rose in the regions of Comunidad Valenciana, up 2,2%, Asturias up2%, Baleares with a 1,9% increase, Aragón up 1,4%, Galicia up 0,9% and Madrid up 0,7%.

While another index shows that overall Spanish property prices fell by 5.5% over the 12 months to the end of January. However, these figures from appraisal company Tinsa  are based on their valuations, not on actual selling prices. Activity in the real estate market is still very depressed.

The latest figures from the National Institute of Statistics shows that year on year the market shrank by 27% in volume terms to 372,000 transactions in 2009. They have fallen 48% since 2007 when there were 715,000 sales.

December 2009 had just 28,669 home sales, the second lowest level of monthly sales on record. But compared to December last year, sales were down just 1%. ‘That’s because by December last year, the market was already deep in crisis.

From now on, annualised comparisons won’t look so bad, and won’t give any indication how far the market has fallen,’ explained Spanish Property Insight.

‘When the market hit the skids, resale transactions collapsed much quicker than new builds, which outnumbered re-sales throughout 2009. In normal market conditions, it’s the other way around. As 2009 went by the two started to converge, and in 2010 re-sales may once again overtake new builds, though it does depends on whether banks are prepared to lend to resale buyers,’ he added.

Whilst there’s little doubt that life is returning to the Spanish property market, it still remains utterly price sensitive, according to Chris Mercer, director of Mercers real estate agents.  ‘We are making it our business to find realistically priced property from motivated sellers for serious buyers who are in a genuine position to make a purchase. The reality is that decent investment properties are out there, whatever the market, it just takes some expertise and effort to find them.’

If your property is overpriced you won’t sell and you’re wasting your own time and our time, whilst also giving the buyer an unrealistic view of the market. If you’re a motivated seller able to accept a realistic price for your home, we’ll find a buyer.

He also believes that for investors renting to local people can prove fruitful. ‘If you’ve got a 20% deposit then the rent will comfortably pay the mortgage and as you’re truly buying at the bottom of the market, you have an asset that will certainly appreciate in years to come.

Are Property discounts what they seem?

Property discounts in Spain and Tenerife,are they all that they seem?

Property discounts in Spain and Tenerife,are they all that they seem?

There is no shortage of price promotions being touted, for example Metrovacesa’s December promotion of 1,500 homes with alleged discounts of up to 52%, and Banesto’s November promotion of 1,200 homes with alleged discounts of 40% (Metrovacesa is one of Spain’s biggest developers, and Banesto one of its biggest banks).

But when  real estate experts what they thought of the discounts, scepticism was the order of the day. “One has to interpret these discounts and ask what levels they are calculated fromDi,” said Ernesto Tarazona, Corporate Recovery Director at Knight Frank España.

After all, what good is a discount if it is applied to some unreal starting price? According to the experts consulted for article, in many cases today’s discounts are based on the demented valuations used at the height of the boom, arguably irrelevant in today’s straightened economic circumstances. Supporting this position is a recent report on the Spanish property market  stated that prices are still close to 30% over-valued, and the valuations used by banks and savings banks (cajas) “do not reflect true values and result in a general over-valuation of property.”

That said, you might still get lucky and get the odd bargain,  especially holiday homes on the coast.

Just look at the published accounts of developers for the third quarter of this year, says the article. Their gross margins are still positive, implying that they are selling above the crazy prices they paid for land in the boom, if they sell at all, that is.

The real question is why are prices so high, even with the alleged discounts? Because neither banks nor developers are prepared to sell at a loss whether in Tenerife or Barcelona, explains the article. New accounting rules from the Bank of Spain may change that, but for the time being the discounts on offer are not really discounts at all, at least not compared to today’s market prices.

For my money I would say that will all change in 2010, one way or another.