TINSA and government house price index shows falling prices

Tinsa and government index shows property sales in Tenerife and Spain down in 2011

The House Price Index published by the Department of Housing shows house prices falling 6.8pc in 2011, and 19pc since the peak

Last week it was the appraisal company Tinsa’s house price index showing prices down 8pc in 2011. Now it’s the turn of the Government to publish it’s housing price index for 2011, showing a broadly similar decline of 6.8pc over 12 months to the end of December .

Both the Tinsa index and this one show  a double-dip starting at the end of 2010 and price-falls accelerating in the course of 2011.

After adjusting for inflation, Spanish house prices fell 9.6pc in real terms in 2011. So anyone with an inflation proof income (the majority of Spaniards with indefinite labour contracts) saw the real cost of buying a house fall by 10pc last year, or more if you include the 50% reduction in VAT on new homes.

Prices fell the most in Aragon (-10.4pc), Madrid (-8.2pc), Andalucia (-7.8pc) and Catalonia (-7.7pc), and the least in The Basque Region (-3.1pc), Asturias (-2.7pc), and Extremadura (-2.1pc). According to Fernando Encinar, head of research at the  Idealista, “there is no reason to think that anything is going to change in 2012.”

Of course you have to take all the official figures with a large pinch of salt. If the official index shows declines of 6.8pc, the reality was probably something between 10 and 15pc.

Soon to be published, and all that remains to be seen for 2011, is the official House Price Index from the National Statistics Institute, which should come out in the next month or two, and which tends to be used by the international press. Based on past form it will probably understate price declines more than any other index, which partly explains why so many articles in the international press say that Spanish property prices haven’t fallen enough.

Tinsa shows house price index down by 8pc in 2011

Tinsa shows property sales in Tenerife and Spain down in 2011

Spain’s most reliable house price index fell 8.1pc in 2011, making last year almost as bad as the crisis year of 2008, when prices fell 8.8pc. There is a clear double-dip in the curve with price falls accelerating again after staging a feeble recovery last year.

One of the reasons house price declines have picked up speed is because of the return of the credit crunch in Spain. The double-dip in house prices is mirrored almost exactly by a double dip in new mortgage lending.  In coastal areas where holiday homes and much of the glut are concentrated finished the year better than other areas, with prices down 7.2pc over 12 months, compared to 9.1pc in cities and 8pc on the islands such as Tenerife.

Some experts argue that popular coastal areas will recover before the rest of the market thanks to diversified international demand from economies doing better than Spain

Cheaper homes in Spain

The average price of a Spanish home fell by 8% in 2011, with further price falls anticipated in 2012, research shows.

The Tinsa House Price Index, considered to be Spain’s most reliable residential property price index, reveals that average home prices fell by 8.1% in 2011, the worst annual decline in property values since 2008, when the average price a home in Spain fell by 8.8% year-on-year.

“There is a clear double-dip in the curve with price falls accelerating again after staging a feeble recovery last year,” said Spanish property commentator Mark Stucklin. The main reasons why home price falls have picked up pace are due to a lack of mortgage finance and a severe oversupply of homes on the market.

Stucklin added: “The double-dip in house prices is mirrored almost exactly by a double dip in new mortgage lending.”

Somewhat surprisingly, homes located in coastal areas, where there is generally the greatest oversupply of properties, finished the year better than other areas, with prices having declined by  7.2%, on average, year-on-year, compared to 9.1% in cities and 8% on the islands such as Tenerife.

Latest Price Index from Tinsa

Tenerife and the Canary Islands fare best in Tinsa's latest property index

Average Spanish house prices fell 6.9pc over 12 months to October, according to the latest House Price Index published by Tinsa, one of Spain’s leading appraisal companies.

Prices fell the most (-8.1pc) in regional capitals and metropolitan areas (-7.5pc), followed by the Mediterranean coast (-6.9) where holiday homes are concentrated, and where prices dropped considerably less than September. Prices fell the least in The Balearic and Canary Islands (-3.4pc).

Peak to present, prices are down on average 30pc on the coast, and 20.5pc on the islands.

Spanish property hangs on to most of the boom time gains

Spanish property hangs on to most of the gains from the boom years

Spanish property has managed to hang onto most of the capital gains it made during the boom, at least according to official figures. Other Eurozone countries have fared worse.

During the boom, the only Eurozone countries that experienced higher property price inflation than Spain (+155pc) were Ireland (+172pc) and Malta (+157pc), according to a new report from the European Commission.

Since the bubble burst, Irish property prices have fallen 38pc, and Maltese property prices by 11pc. In Spain, prices are down 22pc, according to the official house price index from the Government (-24pc according to the latest Tinsa index).

That means that Spanish property has managed to hang onto around three quarters of the capital gains it made during the boom, no mean feat given the economic crisis, credit crunch, and collapse in sales (Spanish property sales down 40pc in August alone).

Significant fall in property prices according to Tinsa.

Property prices falling in Spain especially by the coast

According to José Manuel Galindo, President fo the APCE builders and developers association, the fall in property prices, has been “significant”.

Prices are now down a total of 26pc in real terms since their peak, says Galindo, taking into account inflation and a reduction in VAT. When it comes to holiday homes on the coast, however, the falls have been more brutal. Prices on the coast have fallen by 32pc, according to Tinsa, and anecdotal evidence suggests it might even be higher than that.

Galindo stressed that many developers cannot afford to reduce prices any further. “Developers can’t sell below the cost of their mortgage, because they no longer have the money to afford the adjustment,” he explained.

 In the long-run, price will fall to affordable levels, regardless of how much builders or banks have to lose in the process.

Turning to the collapse in sales (down 40pc in August alone) Galindo blamed it on the lack of credit and local “purchasing capacity” and pinned his hopes on foreign buyers heping Spain mop up its glut of close to 300,000 unsold new homes on the coast.

He also described the recent Government led road show to promote Spanish property around Europe “rather ineffective”.

September Tinsa Index

Average Spanish house prices fell 7.4pc over 12 months to September, according to the latest House Price Index from Tinsa – one of Spain’s leading appraisal companies.

Prices fell the most (-8.9pc) in capitals and large cities, followed by the Mediterranean coast (-8.2) where holiday homes are concentrated.

Peak to present, prices are down on average 24.1pc, and by 31.9pc on the coast.

Opportunities to purchase properties at low prices in Tenerife and Spain

Property bargains available in Spain, Tenerife and the islands

During the last three decades, hundreds of thousands of Britons have purchased property in Spain. Nonetheless, a surplus of villas and apartments has spawned due to mortgage defaults from British buyers. By noting the declining property prices during the month of June, according to valuation and consulting firm Tinsa’s latest General IMIE (Spanish Property Market Index) report, one can see the opportunity to purchase Spanish property at a low price. This is why British investors are continuing to invest in the Spanish real estate market.

Along the Mediterranean coast, the Balearic and Canary Island archipelagos are amongst the most popular tourist and investment attractions in Spain. The Balearic Islands feature Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza, and Formentera. With its Opera House, Mallorca offers a stately and elegant experience, while King Juan Carlos’ castle sits in Palma. Menorca offers a drier climate than the aforementioned Mallorca, in addition to cool breezes. Menorca has also garnered fame for its production of leather goods and gin. Ibiza has recently improved its reputation from years past, and Formentera offers an intimate and secluded getaway.

The Mediterranean Coast offers numerous overseas investment opportunities.

From the bright lights of Benidorm to the opulence of Moraira and the resorts towns of Javea and Denia, the Costa Blanca offers a smorgasbord of options. The Costa Blanca is serviced by Alicante airport, now supplemented by inexpensive flights to Valencia on the northern Costa. This enhances tourists and property buyers’ access to the Spanish region during the year. The Costa features the Mediterranean highway, which runs alongside the coast for virtually the entire length of the Costa Blanca, enabling easy travel.

Tenerife and the Canary islands, firm favourites over the years with the British has property available at prices not heard of during the last five years. Maybe this is the time to bag that bargain?

Average prices have declined say TINSA

Average house prices have declined 6.6pc over 12 months to the end of June,according to the house price index published by Tinsa – one of Spain’s leading appraisal companies.

Holiday homes have led the fall, with prices on the coast down 8.7pc in 12 months. The market on the coast is struggling to digest a large helping of second homes, made more indigestible by the disappearance of British buyers.

After the latest falls, prices are now back to where they were 6 years in 2005, but even that means that prices might still be too high.

Peak-to-present, house prices on the coast have fallen the most (-28.8pc), followed by cities (-23.4pc), suburbs (-22.9pc), and the islands (-20pc). On average prices are down 20pc since their peak at the end of 2007

 Tinsa state a fall of -7%  for the Canaries and Balearics, however the market appears to be improving again in Tenerife.

Tinsa price index latest results

Tinsa index now shows positive signs for the property market in Tenerife

The Tinsa Spanish House Price Index for February (change over 12 months) is  as follows:

National average -4.5pc
Big cities – 5.2pc
Mediterranean Coast -6.7pc
The Balearics & Canaries -0.8pc

Peak-to-present:

Mediterranean Coast -27.2pc
Capitals -20.6pc
The Balearics & Canaries -17.5pc