Cheaper homes in Spain

January 17, 2012 – 2:57 pm

The average price of a Spanish home fell by 8% in 2011, with further price falls anticipated in 2012, research shows.

The Tinsa House Price Index, considered to be Spain’s most reliable residential property price index, reveals that average home prices fell by 8.1% in 2011, the worst annual decline in property values since 2008, when the average price a home in Spain fell by 8.8% year-on-year.

“There is a clear double-dip in the curve with price falls accelerating again after staging a feeble recovery last year,” said Spanish property commentator Mark Stucklin. The main reasons why home price falls have picked up pace are due to a lack of mortgage finance and a severe oversupply of homes on the market.

Stucklin added: “The double-dip in house prices is mirrored almost exactly by a double dip in new mortgage lending.”

Somewhat surprisingly, homes located in coastal areas, where there is generally the greatest oversupply of properties, finished the year better than other areas, with prices having declined by  7.2%, on average, year-on-year, compared to 9.1% in cities and 8% on the islands such as Tenerife.

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Investor expectations are improving according to survey

November 22, 2011 – 10:05 am

Investors expecting improvement in property market in Tenerife and Spain

The Spanish real estate sector is still in the doldrums, but investor expectations are improving, according to the latest survey by international consultants CB Richard Ellis. 73% of real estate investors in Spain expect the sector to turn the corner in the next year and a half, reveals the latest property investment barometer from CB Richard Ellis.

57% of those surveyed said they planed to invest in Spanish property in the next 6 months. That said, most of the interest is in commercial rather than residential property. Only 7% plan to invest in residential property, compared to 50pc in offices and 40pc in prime shopping centres.

80% say that financing will continue to be a big problem for investors, which is why 60% think that foreign investors with better financing will drive the market as it turns around. Outside of Spain, London and Paris still dominate, with 50% of the total investment.

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Spanish property bargains

November 11, 2011 – 10:52 am

Property bargains in Spain and Tenerife

Despite dramatic property price reductions by many vendors across Spain, bargain hunters are taking advantage of the weak Spanish property market and are offering considerably below asking prices, fresh research shows.

 The latest figures provided by Idealista reveals that in September, the average offer made online through the Spanish property portal was 21.7% below the asking price. Having analysed over 500,000 offers since January 2011, Idealista’s research found that January, March and September are the months with the greatest volume of offers made by purchasers, whilst June was the weakest month in terms of demand. Spanish property investment opportunities The majority of Spanish property investors – 73% – believe that the Spanish property market will improve within the next 18 months, according to a new survey.

The latest study by international property consultants CB Richard Ellis found that three in four Spanish property investors expect market conditions to improve, despite the fact that prices are still falling across many parts of the country. The latest property investment barometer from CB Richard Ellis showed that Spain is expected to improve in early 2013, while 57% of those surveyed said they planned to invest in the Spanish property market within the next 6 months. The majority of investors are interested in buying commercial properties, rather than residential, with half of investors looking to buy offices, while 40% are interested in prime shopping centres. Just 7% of investors said that they plan to buy residential property.

A lack of mortgage liquidity remains a major stumbling block in Spain, which is why three in five investors believe that foreign investors with greater access to financing will drive the market recovery. Take advantage of the weak Spanish property market Domestic investors are taking centre stage in Spain’s investment market making up 66.2% of investors in Q1-Q3 2011, up from 33.3% in the same period in 2010 according to international real estate advisor Savills. Total volume in Spain’s investment market totalled almost €1.25bn (£1.07bn) in the first three quarters of 2011. The firm notes that as well as ongoing sales of large mixed use portfolios which banks are attempting to remove from their balance sheets, local authorities are also selling assets to gain liquidity.

Both the Andalusian and Catalan Regional Governments have portfolios on the market, including well-located office assets, which Savills observes are attracting interest from both opportunistic and core investors. Danny Kinnoch, international investment director Savills Spain, says: “In recent times there has been a two tier market with opportunistic investors focused on portfolio and large scale individual deals while the more traditional core investors remain focused on well-located, high-quality assets with high occupancy rates and solvent tenants on long-term lease contracts. Domestic investors continue to dominate the core market but international players remain on the lookout for opportune deals.” According to Savills major international players including Orion, RREEF, Generali Lend Lease, Doughty Hanson, AXA, Perella Weinberg and Rockspring have all been active this year. Savills has observed increased investor interest in Spain’s hotels market, a shift from the historically dominant retail and office markets and a reflection of the strength of tourism in a challenging economic climate. Key deals in the first three quarters of 2011 include Grupo Millenium’s purchase of two hotel assets, Hesperia Madrid from Hesperia for €80m (£69m) and Tryp Centro Norte from Colonial for €30m (£27m), both in Madrid as well as Mansion Services’ acquisition of Intercontinental Madrid from Morgan Stanley for approximately €68m (£58m). The total investment volume Q1-Q3 represents a fall of 52% compared to the same period in 2010, but with more realistic pricing and improved market sentiment Savills expects 2012 investment volumes to improve on 2011. Kinnoch says: “With an improvement in market sentiment in relation to other Euro countries combined with more realistic pricing taking into account the macro-economic situation in Spain, we expect 2012 investment volumes to exceed those of 2011.”

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Spain’s luxury housing market remains bouyant

September 1, 2011 – 4:44 pm

Tenerife prime property holding price well once more

Spain’s luxury residential market is showing some resilience as Eastern European and non-mortgage buyers surge into the market, according to new research.

New reports from Lucas Fox International Properties show that the average prices in the areas remain way above the national average.

And as finance becomes less scarce the luxury market has shown more strength than others.

Russian buyers are particularly active in Barcelona according to marketing director Anthony Leaton.

Source: OPP.org.uk

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Euribor rate falls

January 7, 2011 – 10:04 am

Spain's Euribor rate falls

Euribor (12 months), the interest rate mainly used to calculate mortgage repayments in Spain, fell to 1.507pc in December, from 1.541pc in November (-2.2pc). On an annualised basis, Euribor  changed by 21pc compared to the end of last year. That means higher monthly repayments for borrowers with mortgages resetting now.

As a result of the latest increase, repayments for a typical mortgage (150,000 Euros, 25 years, Euribor +0.5) will go up by 20 Euros /month, or 240 Euros / year.

The big news of the month was October’s collapse in new mortgage lending, which fell by an annualised 24pc (to 39,542), and by 25pc compared to September, according to figures from the INE

This is the sixth month in a row that new mortgage lending has fallen, a clear sign of trouble for the market. New mortgage lending has been falling since July, and the latest fall comes on top of a slump of 16pc in September.

The average residential loan value in October was 111,368 Euros, down 2.7pc over 12 months and down a startling 6.8pc compared to September. Significantly fewer, smaller loans means a lot less money chasing property, putting further pressure on prices.

Total new residential mortgage lending in October was 4.403 billion Euros, down 26.4pc in a year. The average new mortgage interest rate was 3.74pc, down 10.7% in a year but up 0.3% in a month.

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Canaries property prices fair better

November 26, 2010 – 12:31 pm

Canarian property fairs better than that on the Spanish mainland

Residential property prices in Spain have fallen between 3.7% and 5% over the 12 months to the end of September with the popular coastal regions taking the worst hit.

The latest figures from the Ministry of Housing show prices down 3.7% while the Tinsa index is down 5% year on year.

The average price of property is €1,832 per square meter, down from €1,903 per square meter a year ago, according to the figures from the Ministry of Housing.

The Tinsa index fell 5% in September, compared to declines of 4.6% in August, and 4% in July. Up until then prices had been trending towards smaller declines, suggesting they might even make it into positive territory on an annualised basis before the end of the year

Prices on the coast, where most holiday homes are located, saw the steepest declines, down 8.7% in September compared with a fall of 4.9% in August. The Balearics and Canaries fared slightly better, down 4.2% compared with a drop of 5.3% in August.

It means that prices on the coast are now down 25.7% at €1,924 per square meter compared to their December 2007 peak of €2,590 per square meter.

Prices falls have accelerated in each of the last three months but these latest figures are a set back to recovery. A lot will depend on what happens in the last three months of the year, according to Mark Stucklin  ‘The big question is why are price declines accelerating again, especially when the latest property sales figures show a strong rebound in transactions?’ he said.

‘We have to keep in mind that it might be just a temporary anomaly lasting a few months after which prices return to an improving trend. You can never be sure with just three months of data. But more likely it shows that average Spanish property prices have still not fallen enough, and vendors are having to give more ground to find buyers,’ he added.

The poor price figures come as the number of repossessions in Spain are on the rise. The credit crunch and rising unemployment have driven home repossessions to a record level.

There were 27,561 repossessions procedures in the first quarter of this year alone, an all time record for Spain, following on from an increase of 126% in 2008 and 59% in 2009. Spanish banks now have €20.5 billion of repossessed property on their books

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Residential property price changes in the Canary Isles and Spain.

March 27, 2010 – 5:38 pm

Prices in Spain, Tenerife, the Canary Isles and the Balearic Islands. Having improved for four consecutive months since September last year, prices on the coast decreased by 8.2% over the 12 months to the end of February, and by 8.9% in the Canaries and the Balearics. So since the peak of the market in December 2007 prices are down 15.7% nationally, 22% on the Mediterranean coast, and 16.8% in the Canaries and the Balearics, based on Tinsa figures.
 
But the latest figures from the National Institute of Statistics, which are based on actual sales figures supplied by lawyers, show that property prices fell by an average of 4.3% last year and by just 10% since the peak, seemingly backing up the trends identified by Tinsa. They also show that resale property prices fell 3.5% last year and actually rose by 0.1% on a quarterly basis in the last three months of the year.
 
The Spanish government claims there are signs of recovery. The latest figures from the Ministry of Housing shows there was a small rise in property sales in the fourth quarter of 2009. ‘The transactions in the fourth quarter represent a rise of 4.1% with respect to the same period last year, this being the first year-on-year rise since the fourth quarter of 2006,’ it said in a statement.
 
But like the Tinsa figures, when the data is put into a wider context the picture is not quite as rosy. The government figures show that there were 413,112 transactions last year, a fall of 19% compared to the previous year, and 46% down on 2007. Even the fourth quarter sales were down 33% compared to the same period two years ago.

Property price changes in Tenerife,Spain and the Canary Isles.

Property price changes in Tenerife,Spain and the Canary Isles.

Residential property fell nationally by 5.5% over the 12 months to the end of February, according to the latest real estate price index.There is a degree of stabilisation, with the index remaining the same as the previous month, said appraisal company Tinsa. But the headline figures hid the fact that in some markets prices are still falling considerably.
 
A closer examination of the Tinsa figures, which are based on valuations not sales, shows a different story for real estate on the Mediterranean coast,

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Opportunities available in Spanish real estate

January 7, 2010 – 5:03 pm
The latest news from Spain and Tenerife's Euribor and mortgage situation

The latest news from Spain and Tenerife's Euribor,mortgage and property situation

Mikel Echavarren, an experienced professional in touch with many different companies in the property sector  is worth listening to. Here is a selection of his recent comments

Do you think there are any good investment opportunities in Spanish real estate today?

I think so but they are risky. In three years we’ll probably be kicking ourselves for not advising investors to invest now. There aren’t many opportunities in commercial real estate because there isn’t much product and rents haven’t yet adjusted. In residential, on the other hand, the correction has been very strong and fast. The ideal profile now is an opportunistic investor buying properties off banks by taking on the existing debt, a type of real estate venture capital.

So you think there are opportunities in a residential sector because the adjustment has already taken place?

There are hundreds of thousands of possible transactions, but not many genuine opportunities. What there is not is any financing, so anyone who wants to take advantage of this market has to take the debt with the asset, but there are still very few people prepared to do that today.

Has the price of housing and land touched bottom?

House prices touched bottom some time ago, they have already fallen all they had to fall. And the price of land has fallen faster than house prices although it could even fall a bit more. We have been saying at the top of our lungs that the price statistics published by the government are worthless, and damaging to the sector because they give international analysts the impression we are a country of idiots. In the US and the UK prices have fallen around 20% from the peak whilst here we have only fallen by 8%.

What’s wrong with the official statistics?

They are based on valuations. One has to look at real property transactions and a survey of developers to see not only their asking prices but how far they are prepared to drop prices to sell.

Do you think there is any residential property that will never sell?

What there is is a stock of land that will never be sold, at least not in 10 years. There are areas of Spain where the town plans look like they were designed for an invasion of extraterrestrialsOn the other hand, the stock of finished property will be absorbed sooner.

Is there any real demand for housing at the moment?

Yes, quite a few homes are being sold. We would have to place it at more than 200,000 homes a year. What is not selling is off-plan, as there you take the risk of the developer or builder going bankrupt. It’s a good time to buy newly built homes with Euribor at 1.24%. They won’t be any cheaper next year. And when prices start to rise they will do so at a rate of 10% per year.

How does one get the Spanish property sector to recover?

The residential sector is already recovering, just not the developers, who won’t see the light at the end of the tunnel for three years; it is very bleak for them. Clients of ours tell us they have sold a lot this summer, and some banks tell us that they have had more mortgage requests this summer than in all 2009. Furthermore, we believe that developers have dropped their prices to the minimum. There is mortgage financing available, not much, but there wasn’t any at all in 2008, and now there is. Mortgage costs are low, and it appears that the future is not going to get any worse. The recovery is underway, although this won’t show up in the official statistics until the first half of 2010. As soon as there is a general perception that things are getting better, house prices will stop falling and start rising.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Latest interest rates and mortgage news from Spain and the Islands

January 2, 2010 – 12:21 pm
The latest news from Spain and Tenerife's Euribor and mortgage situation

The latest news from Spain and Tenerife's Euribor and mortgage situation

Euribor (12 months), the interest rate normally used to calculate mortgage payments in Spain, fell 1 % in November to a new record low of 1.231%. – Euribor has now fallen for 14 consecutive months, and is 72% lower than it was a year ago. – As a consequence of the latest reduction in Euribor, repayments on a typical annually-resetting mortgage (140,000 Euros, 25 years, Euribor +0.5%) will fall by around 240 Euros a month, or 2,800 Euros a year.  Economic analysts expect Euribor to stay around current low levels in the months to come. Both Jean Claude Trichet, President of the ECB and Miguel Ángel Fernández Ordóñez, Governor of the Bank of Spain, have said that current base rates are at the “appropriate level”.

The volume of new residential mortgages signed in September was 62,411, down 4.2% compared to the same month last year. In value terms new residential mortgages were down 16% to 7.3 billion Euros.  The good news is the decline in new mortgage lending has been bottoming out in the last few months. It fell 31% in June, 19% in July, 7% in August, and 4.% in September. If the trend continues new mortgage lending will soon be growing again year-on-year in volume terms. That will give some support to the housing market and if you have a good relationship with your estate agent, they will be able to point you in the right direction, particularly in Tenerife for the best deals available.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Opportunities still exist in Tenerife and Spain’s property market.

December 14, 2009 – 4:05 pm
Opportunities still available in Tenerife, the Canary Islands and Spain

Opportunities still available in Tenerife, the Canary Islands and Spain

We think there are  good investment opportunities in Spanish  and Canarian real estate today, but some are risky. In three years we’ll probably be kicking ourselves for not advising more investors to invest now. There aren’t many opportunities in commercial real estate because there isn’t much product and rents haven’t yet adjusted. In residential, on the other hand, the correction has been very strong and fast. The ideal profile now is an opportunistic investor buying properties off banks by taking on the existing debt, a type of real estate venture capital.

There are hundreds of thousands of possible transactions, but not so many genuine opportunities. What there is not is any financing, so anyone who wants to take advantage of this market has to take the debt with the asset.

House prices touched bottom some time ago, they had to fall. The price of land has fallen faster than house prices although it could even fall a bit more.  In the US and the UK prices have fallen around 20% from the peak whilst here we have only fallen by 8%. Valuations appear to be down 30% in 2 years.. One has to look at real property transactions and a survey of developers to see not only their asking prices but how far they are prepared to drop prices to sell.  Quite a few homes are being sold more than 200,000 homes a year in fact. What is not selling is off-plan, as there you take the risk of the developer or builder going bankrupt? It’s a good time to buy newly built homes with Euribor at 1.24%. They won’t be any cheaper next year. And when prices start to rise they will do so at a rate of 10% per year. Perhaps that purchase in Tenerife should be made sooner rather than later!

The residential sector is already recovering, just not the developers, who won’t see the light at the end of the tunnel for three years; it is very bleak for them. We believe that developers have dropped their prices to the minimum.  The recovery is underway, although this won’t show up in the official statistics until the first half of 2010. As soon as there is a general perception that things are getting better, house prices will stop falling and start rising.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)