More misery for the Spanish property market?

More property investment misery in Tenerife and Spain?

The Spanish property market faces more misery with average residential prices expected to fall by a further 18% before finally bottoming out, according to Barclays Capital. The British investment bank says that the decline in values will add to the 22% price drop witnessed since the Spanish property market crashed in 2008. The bank’s latest report claims that Spanish home prices will drop by up to 35% before reaching the bottom of the downturn. But the reality is that property price falls nationwide have been far steeper and have already depreciated by 40%, on average. In fact, this rate of fall has been confirmed by Spain’s Minister for the Economy, suggesting that Barclays Capital’s data is largely unreliable. “So Barclays Capital are right to say that prices might fall 40% in total, but wrong to say that means another 18% of declines to come,” says Spanish property commentator Mark Stucklin. “We are already almost there [at the bottom], certainly when it comes to holiday homes on the coast.”

Brits getting ready to buy in Tenerife?

Brits sending money to Tenerife and Spain in order to buy property

Brits are getting ready to buy by transferring money abroad, according to Knight Frank. An increasing number of UK investors are sending money overseas to purchase a second home, the agency’s head of residential development James Price told OPP this week.

“The recession here in the UK is not really a factor,” he commented.
“People want to move at the higher end for tax reasons… this is a result more of the pull of both climate and culture, rather than any perceived ‘push’ from the UK.”

Price’s comments follows figures this week that show Brits are increasingly
looking abroad for holidays as the weather worsens in the UK. With prices
of property across Europe held down by the recession and the weakening
single currency, some may find themselves staying abroad for longer as they
seek out a place in the sun.

Increasing numbers of Scandinavians are taking advantage of the crisis to buy holiday homes in Spain

Scandanavian buyers of property are looking to Tenerife and Spain for investment

According to a recent article at the website Investment Europe, “Figures published by Fastighetsbyrån, part of Swedish banking group Swedbank, suggest Swedish and Norwegian property buyers have pushed hard into the Spanish residential property market, as British and German buyers have withdrawn in the past half-decade.”

The article goes onto explain that “over the four year period, the number of UK buyers has dropped by 65% and German buyers by 3%. However, the number of Norwegian buyers is up 108%, and Swedes by 138%. The total market is still down 33% from its 2007 peak, the figures also suggest.”

Scandinavians are tempted by Spanish property, their economies are relatively strong, as are their currencies (the Norwegian and Swedish Krone/Krona have both risen by around 5pc against the Euro since the Spanish property bubble burst at the end of 2007, whilst the British Pound has fallen almost 20pc); Spanish property prices on the coast are down around 50pc or more from the peak, and the sun doesn’t shine much back at home. So Scandinavian buyers are taking advantage of the market to snap up bargains on the Mediterranean coast, and who can blame them?

Scandinavian buyers are not a panacea for the glut of holiday homes on the coast. For a start, with the pick of the best properties, I doubt they will be tempted by  the cheaper end of the market on the coast that also needs to be sold.  Unfortunately, there just aren’t enough of them to take the place of the retreating Brits, who dominated the market during the boom.

Banks forced to sell properties in Spain cheaply.

Banks forced to sell properties cheaply in Spain and Tenerife

Banks are going to be forced to sell properties in Spain cheaply, accelerating a four year decline in residential property values that are already 30% below the peak reached in 2007. Most Spanish property market commentators agree that home prices in the country still have a long way to fall. But despite historically low demand and a glut of homes on the market, vendors, residential developers, estate agents and banks have been reluctant to slash property prices sufficiently to meet today’s perceived market value, in order to avoid major losses.

But Economy Minister Luis de Guindos is now leaning on lenders to make €50bn (£42bn) of additional provisions and capital charges for losses linked to real estate over the next two years. Consequently, residential property prices are now poised to fall the most on record this year, leaving a quarter of all home owners in negative equity, as the government forces the banks to sell real estate holdings.

According to research conducted by advisory firm R.R. de Acuna & Asociados, the average price of a home in Spain will fall by 12%-14% this year. That’s the most since the National Statistics Institute started tracking values in 2007.

Based on an analysis of 800,000 mortgages, Standard & Poor’s forecasts borrowers with negative equity may increase to 25% this year, up from 8% in 2010. “There will be more serious price drops this year because of the government decree,” said Fernando Rodriguez de Acuna Martinez, a partner at the Madrid-based firm. “Banks are now prepared to incur big losses on real estate to shift all they can.”

Spanish property sales increase in January

Property sales in Tenerife and Spain increase

Spanish property sales increased by 42.3% in January compared to the previous month, but continue to fall on an annual basis, according to data provided by the National Institute of Statistics (INE).

INE figures show that property sales in January fell by 26.3% compared to the same month last year, amounting to just 33,087 transactions.  

More than half – 57.1% – of all property sales in January occurred in Andalusia (5,644), Catalonia (4,627), Madrid (4,411) and Valencia (4221).

INE’s figures are a further blow to the Spanish property market, which continues to struggle as a consequence of Spain’s economic troubles and an irresponsible 10-year construction boom, which started around 1997.

Based on the number of Spanish homes sold in January, sales in first quarter of 2011 are on course to be lower than the last quarter of 2011.

Addition figures from the Housing Department in the Ministry of Public Works reveal that a total of 105,560 homes were sold in Q4 2011.

A total of just 347,305 residential properties were sold in 2011, representing the lowest level since the crisis started in 2008 and 64% below on 2006, when 955,186 residential properties were sold

Value of residential property falls in Spain in final quarter of 2011

Residential property values fall in Spain and Tenerife during last quarter of 2011

The value of residential property in Spain and Tenerife slid in the final quarter of 2011, according to new research.

Global Property Guide has published its worldwide housing market statistics for the final quarter of last year, revealing real estate in Spain saw 2.86 per cent wiped off its value in the last three months of 2011, compared to the period between July and September.

Meanwhile, the annual figures showed property prices in Spain fell by 9.27 per cent between the fourth quarter of 2011 and the same timeframe in 2010.

Only Athens in Greece, Warsaw in Poland and Ireland saw greater annual declines in residential real estate prices over the course of last year.

Source: PropertyShowrooms.com

Cheaper homes in Spain

The average price of a Spanish home fell by 8% in 2011, with further price falls anticipated in 2012, research shows.

The Tinsa House Price Index, considered to be Spain’s most reliable residential property price index, reveals that average home prices fell by 8.1% in 2011, the worst annual decline in property values since 2008, when the average price a home in Spain fell by 8.8% year-on-year.

“There is a clear double-dip in the curve with price falls accelerating again after staging a feeble recovery last year,” said Spanish property commentator Mark Stucklin. The main reasons why home price falls have picked up pace are due to a lack of mortgage finance and a severe oversupply of homes on the market.

Stucklin added: “The double-dip in house prices is mirrored almost exactly by a double dip in new mortgage lending.”

Somewhat surprisingly, homes located in coastal areas, where there is generally the greatest oversupply of properties, finished the year better than other areas, with prices having declined by  7.2%, on average, year-on-year, compared to 9.1% in cities and 8% on the islands such as Tenerife.

Investor expectations are improving according to survey

Investors expecting improvement in property market in Tenerife and Spain

The Spanish real estate sector is still in the doldrums, but investor expectations are improving, according to the latest survey by international consultants CB Richard Ellis. 73% of real estate investors in Spain expect the sector to turn the corner in the next year and a half, reveals the latest property investment barometer from CB Richard Ellis.

57% of those surveyed said they planed to invest in Spanish property in the next 6 months. That said, most of the interest is in commercial rather than residential property. Only 7% plan to invest in residential property, compared to 50pc in offices and 40pc in prime shopping centres.

80% say that financing will continue to be a big problem for investors, which is why 60% think that foreign investors with better financing will drive the market as it turns around. Outside of Spain, London and Paris still dominate, with 50% of the total investment.

Spanish property bargains

Property bargains in Spain and Tenerife

Despite dramatic property price reductions by many vendors across Spain, bargain hunters are taking advantage of the weak Spanish property market and are offering considerably below asking prices, fresh research shows.

 The latest figures provided by Idealista reveals that in September, the average offer made online through the Spanish property portal was 21.7% below the asking price. Having analysed over 500,000 offers since January 2011, Idealista’s research found that January, March and September are the months with the greatest volume of offers made by purchasers, whilst June was the weakest month in terms of demand. Spanish property investment opportunities The majority of Spanish property investors – 73% – believe that the Spanish property market will improve within the next 18 months, according to a new survey.

The latest study by international property consultants CB Richard Ellis found that three in four Spanish property investors expect market conditions to improve, despite the fact that prices are still falling across many parts of the country. The latest property investment barometer from CB Richard Ellis showed that Spain is expected to improve in early 2013, while 57% of those surveyed said they planned to invest in the Spanish property market within the next 6 months. The majority of investors are interested in buying commercial properties, rather than residential, with half of investors looking to buy offices, while 40% are interested in prime shopping centres. Just 7% of investors said that they plan to buy residential property.

A lack of mortgage liquidity remains a major stumbling block in Spain, which is why three in five investors believe that foreign investors with greater access to financing will drive the market recovery. Take advantage of the weak Spanish property market Domestic investors are taking centre stage in Spain’s investment market making up 66.2% of investors in Q1-Q3 2011, up from 33.3% in the same period in 2010 according to international real estate advisor Savills. Total volume in Spain’s investment market totalled almost €1.25bn (£1.07bn) in the first three quarters of 2011. The firm notes that as well as ongoing sales of large mixed use portfolios which banks are attempting to remove from their balance sheets, local authorities are also selling assets to gain liquidity.

Both the Andalusian and Catalan Regional Governments have portfolios on the market, including well-located office assets, which Savills observes are attracting interest from both opportunistic and core investors. Danny Kinnoch, international investment director Savills Spain, says: “In recent times there has been a two tier market with opportunistic investors focused on portfolio and large scale individual deals while the more traditional core investors remain focused on well-located, high-quality assets with high occupancy rates and solvent tenants on long-term lease contracts. Domestic investors continue to dominate the core market but international players remain on the lookout for opportune deals.” According to Savills major international players including Orion, RREEF, Generali Lend Lease, Doughty Hanson, AXA, Perella Weinberg and Rockspring have all been active this year. Savills has observed increased investor interest in Spain’s hotels market, a shift from the historically dominant retail and office markets and a reflection of the strength of tourism in a challenging economic climate. Key deals in the first three quarters of 2011 include Grupo Millenium’s purchase of two hotel assets, Hesperia Madrid from Hesperia for €80m (£69m) and Tryp Centro Norte from Colonial for €30m (£27m), both in Madrid as well as Mansion Services’ acquisition of Intercontinental Madrid from Morgan Stanley for approximately €68m (£58m). The total investment volume Q1-Q3 represents a fall of 52% compared to the same period in 2010, but with more realistic pricing and improved market sentiment Savills expects 2012 investment volumes to improve on 2011. Kinnoch says: “With an improvement in market sentiment in relation to other Euro countries combined with more realistic pricing taking into account the macro-economic situation in Spain, we expect 2012 investment volumes to exceed those of 2011.”

Spain’s luxury housing market remains bouyant

Tenerife prime property holding price well once more

Spain’s luxury residential market is showing some resilience as Eastern European and non-mortgage buyers surge into the market, according to new research.

New reports from Lucas Fox International Properties show that the average prices in the areas remain way above the national average.

And as finance becomes less scarce the luxury market has shown more strength than others.

Russian buyers are particularly active in Barcelona according to marketing director Anthony Leaton.

Source: OPP.org.uk