Housing glut to shrink to manageable level by 2013 says Spain’s Ministry of Finance

May 5, 2011 – 10:13 am

Housing glut lasts in mainland Spain but improves in Tenerife and the islands

In a drive to reassure international money markets that Spain can deal with its real estate problems, the Ministry of Finance has claimed that Spain’s infamous housing-glut will shrink to a manageable level of 200,000 homes by 2013.

For that to happen Spain will have to sell 900,000 new homes between now and then (300,000 per year), whilst building around 175,000 new homes on average per year. In the chart above, the dotted line forecasts the new housing inventory in 2013.

Some experts have raised doubts that the market will be able to digest 300,000 new homes per year, bearing in mind that resale transactions must also be taken into account.

According to the latest figures from the Government (Fomento) and the property register, analysed in an article by El Confidencial, the net change in the number of new homes on the market over the latest 12 months was a decline of just 30,000, way below Government estimates for the next few years. If that rate continues it will take several years longer to digest the glut. The Government also produced an analysis of the relationship between price falls and the stock of new homes on the market in different areas.

 Madrid and coastal provinces of mainland Spain, where most holiday-homes are located, tend to have the largest gluts and price falls. However the islands such as Tenerife and Majorca have seen an upturn in prices this year

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

This week’s exchange rate news

March 8, 2010 – 2:21 pm

The Pound has been falling at an alarming rate, following Friday’s weak GDP revision (showing last year’s economic contraction was even bigger than expected) and new worries about Quantitative Easing.

On Thursday, the Bank of England announced no change to interest rates.  In virtually all currencies, sending money overseas is becoming rapidly more expensive due to falling exchange rates. Remember that it is possible to secure your exchange rate up to 2 years ahead to avoid exchange rate risk

Exchange rate fluctuations in Tenerife caused by the falling pound

Exchange rate fluctuations in Tenerife caused by the falling pound

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

New mortgage lending still depressed in Spain and Tenerife

March 4, 2010 – 12:56 pm
Mortgage lending still depressed in Tenerife, the Canary Islands and Spain.

Mortgage lending still depressed in Tenerife, the Canary Islands and Spain.

New mortgage lending in Spain is still very depressed, according to the latest numbers from the National Institute of Statistics (INE).

According to the latest figures, for December and therefore the whole of 2009, new mortgage lending fell again last year, by 22% in volume terms (to 653,173), and by 34% in value terms (to 76.8 billion Euros). These are the lowest levels in both volume and value terms since the INE started publishing this data series in 2003.

The number of new mortgages signed has been falling now for 3 years, and the value of new mortgages has been falling even faster. That means there is less money around to spend on Spanish property, which puts downward pressure on prices.

Mortgage lending has been changing in percentage terms over the last few years – falling in both volume and value for the last 3 years, though the rate of decline improved slightly in 2009. That means it is still falling heavily, just not by as much as last year.

Over the last 2 years, new mortgage lending has been falling more in value terms than in volume terms. That means that the average mortgage value is also falling, as borrowers take out smaller mortgages. The average value of new mortgages last year was 117,688 Euros, down 16% on 2008.

Banks have tightened up their lending criteria, and now demand bigger deposits. But also because Spanish property prices are falling, so borrowers don’t need such big mortgages as before. New mortgage lending is down 51% by volume, and 59% by value, compared to 2006, when the market peaked. That is a massive decline in the amount of money around chasing property

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Sports Desk, Tenerife, Things to Do, Uncategorized, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Pensioners suffering from the global recession

September 29, 2009 – 4:27 pm
Pensioners in Tenerife and overseas are not smiling as much since the recession.

Pensioners in Tenerife and overseas are not smiling as much since the recession.

Almost half of Britons abroad who are sending money back to the UK are aged 65 and over – suggesting that those pensioners who retired to the sun have been hit hardest by the recession and are being forced back to the UK.

Currency specialists such as Moneycorp and  HiFX has seen a 180% increase in the number of euro to sterling transactions and a 111% increase in the number of US dollar to sterling transactions in the past six months, compared to the same period last year.

Not only are more over 65s repatriating money, but they are also sending home larger amounts. This suggests that they are selling up property and returning home. In the last six months almost a third (32%) of the transactions over £70,000 have been made by over 65s. They have  calculated that British pensioners living in Europe have potentially lost out on almost €10billion of their income in the last two years due to the falling strength of sterling. When faced with this drop in their income, it’s no surprise that some pensioners are finding themselves forced to sell up.

Certainly this has been seen in Tenerife and the Canary Islands allowing the fortunate few with cash to obtain great property bargains.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (1)