Spanish house prices back to levels of seven years ago

Tenerife and Spanish property prices down to levels seen seven years ago

Spanish house prices have fallen back to where they where seven years ago, according to the Government’s House Price Index (Fomento). House prices fell 7.2pc in Q1 compared to the same time last year.

The average cost of housing in Euros/m2 now stands at 1,649€/m2, basically where it was at the start of 2005, when the Government first started publishing this particular index. This index isn’t totally reliable but it does help to illustrate the house prices are clearly going down.

More downbeat news for the Spanish housing market

More downbeat news on Tenerife and Spain's property market

Another clutch of downbeat news stories from the Spanish housing market: The value of house sales fell 37.5pc in 2011, according to new figures from the Government (Fomento). There were 307,931 home sales last year (excluding social housing), valued at 50.5 billion Euros, 37.5pc down on the year before.

More or less the same story, but from a different source, comes the news that there were 370,204 home sales last year (including social housing), according to the property register (registradores.org). That Spanish housing market is now the smallest it has been since the Property Register started publishing this data series back in 2005. Transactions fell 11pc in the last quarter of the year.

Source: Spanish Property Insight

Euribor rate falls

Spain's Euribor rate falls, causing mortgage costs to fall in Tenerife

Euribor (12 months), the interest rate normally used to calculate mortgage repayments in Spain, fell to 1.45pc in March, leaving it 25pc lower than the same time last year. As a result, repayments on a typical 25-year, €120,000-mortgage resetting now will go down by around €25/month or €300/year.

Mortgage rates are plunging because of the new policy by the European Central Bank (ECB) to provide banks with unlimited funding for 3 years. None of this means cheap credit for mortgage borrowers.  When banks can only get short-term (3-year) financing, they avoid lending to house-buyers for 25 years.

Partly as a consequence, new mortgage lending in Spain has collapsed, down in January an annualised 41pc by volume, and 47pc by value, with the average mortgage value down 10pc.  It’s clear Spain is back in a credit crunch.

So mortgage rates have plunged, but so has new lending. The result is less money available to buy housing, which means downward pressure on prices.

Cheaper homes in Spain as sellers try to attract more buyers

Cheaper rental and sale property prices in Tenerife and Spain

Resale Spanish property asking prices continued to fall last month, as more vendors slashed prices in a bid to secure a sale. The latest home price index published by idealista.com shows that the average price of a home in Spain depreciated by 9.4% compared to January 2011.

The figures provided by the Spanish property portal reveal that January 2012 was the worst month since the Spanish housing crisis started four years ago. On a month on month basis, asking prices of homes in the idealista.com database depreciated by 1.9% to an average price of €2,045sqm (£1,712sqm) suggesting that homeowners are becoming more realistic about the need to reduce property prices if they are going to have any chance of attracting more home buyers.

It represents the biggest fall in asking prices since idealista.com started publishing the index before the property crash got underway in 2008.

On a monthly basis, prices fell the most in Castille La Mancha (-2.3%), followed by The Balearics, Asturias and Andalucia (-2.1%).  With property prices falling, housing affordability has somewhat improved in Spain, based on average property prices versus average gross annual household income, which has fallen from 7.7 years at the peak of the property boom to a current rate of 6.2 years, according to the Bank of Spain.

Spanish families might welcome more affordable housing,  but housing is still much more expensive than it was before the boom, when it cost just 4 years gross annual income or less.

“There are several reasons why the affordability ratio has not improved more with falling property prices, including higher mortgage borrowing costs and lower household income, said Spanish property commentator Mark Stucklin.

He continued: “None of this really applies to the cost of holiday-homes on the coast, where prices have fallen substantially more than the national average, and where foreigners with higher incomes than the Spanish national average tend to buy.”


The average cost of renting a home in Spain also fell last year as rental prices depreciated in 77% of Spain’s primary rental markets, the latest to data from Idealista.com and the Public Rental Company show.

The greatest rental price decline was recorded in Toledo by 8.7%, followed by a 6.8% drop in Oviedo. In Spain’s largest cities of Barcelona, Madrid and Valencia rents fell by 3.1%, 1.3% and 4% respectively.
However, rents actually increased in Lleida, Bilbao and Alicante rentals, rising 11.2%, 4.2% and 4.1% respectively.

These rental price declines follow on from falls in 2010, suggesting that Spanish homes are becoming cheaper to rent, as well as buy.

TINSA and government house price index shows falling prices

Tinsa and government index shows property sales in Tenerife and Spain down in 2011

The House Price Index published by the Department of Housing shows house prices falling 6.8pc in 2011, and 19pc since the peak

Last week it was the appraisal company Tinsa’s house price index showing prices down 8pc in 2011. Now it’s the turn of the Government to publish it’s housing price index for 2011, showing a broadly similar decline of 6.8pc over 12 months to the end of December .

Both the Tinsa index and this one show  a double-dip starting at the end of 2010 and price-falls accelerating in the course of 2011.

After adjusting for inflation, Spanish house prices fell 9.6pc in real terms in 2011. So anyone with an inflation proof income (the majority of Spaniards with indefinite labour contracts) saw the real cost of buying a house fall by 10pc last year, or more if you include the 50% reduction in VAT on new homes.

Prices fell the most in Aragon (-10.4pc), Madrid (-8.2pc), Andalucia (-7.8pc) and Catalonia (-7.7pc), and the least in The Basque Region (-3.1pc), Asturias (-2.7pc), and Extremadura (-2.1pc). According to Fernando Encinar, head of research at the  Idealista, “there is no reason to think that anything is going to change in 2012.”

Of course you have to take all the official figures with a large pinch of salt. If the official index shows declines of 6.8pc, the reality was probably something between 10 and 15pc.

Soon to be published, and all that remains to be seen for 2011, is the official House Price Index from the National Statistics Institute, which should come out in the next month or two, and which tends to be used by the international press. Based on past form it will probably understate price declines more than any other index, which partly explains why so many articles in the international press say that Spanish property prices haven’t fallen enough.

Bargain homes in Spain prove popular with international buyers.

Bargain hunters in property are investing in Tenerife and Spain

Overseas nationals spent €3.6bn (£2.3bn) on buying homes in Spain in 2011, as they took advantage of significantly discounted properties, according to data supplied by the Bank of Spain. The figures show that foreign property investment in Spain increased by 27% last year compared to the preceding year.

With Spain’s economy in turmoil and the housing market in disarray, owed largely to a major oversupply of homes, property prices have been in freefall, attracting more bargain hunters in the process. The hike in property sales in 2011 marks a second consecutive year of growth in international investment with 2011 beating the total value of transactions in 2010.

Many property professionals believe that the rise in foreign investment activity is a sign that property market conditions are improving. Spanish journalist Daniel Talavera  believes that the Spanish property market is now touching rock bottom of the downturn.

“2011 has probably been the worst year in terms of property prices and sales drop. If the price fall in 2010 was by 3% compared to 2009, the mentioned fall of 6.85% in 2011 compared to 2010 confirms that the market is reaching its lowest at the right speed.”

Martinez new director for housing, land and architecture.

Pilar Martínez  is the new Director of Architecture, Housing and Land for the national government in Madrid. She takes over a tricky post from Beatriz Corredor, the former Secretary of State for Housing under the Socialist Government.

Her office is part of the Ministry of Public Works and she will report to Ana Pastor, the new Minister in charge of that department. Martínez previously worked as head of housing in Madrid’s municipal government.

Spain stepping up tax plans

Spain's taxation approach helping property sales in Tenerife?

Spain is stepping up its tax plans to tackle the country’s deficit, but buyers are snapping up property regardless as further price drops are predicted for 2012.

The Spanish government’s predictions initially stated that national debt would amount to 6 per cent of GDP for 2011, but it was revealed last week that these figures were incorrect and that the country deficit is closer to 8 per cent.

Since then, Spain’s government has added that the debt “could be even higher”, according to The Daily Mail, prompting the recently elected Popular Party to go back on its pledge not to raise taxes. Property tax is expected to increase for homes above average value, Spain’s swift economic action has been welcomed by the EU as the country tries to reassure international investors who are snapping up properties at low prices.

Indeed, reports at the end of December from Global Property Guide found that foreign property transactions surged by 24.7 per cent in the third quarter of 2011, compared to the same period in 2010.

Alicante, Barcelona, the Balearic, Canary Islands and Malaga were all highlighted as popular areas for buyers, with research from Scotibank Group showing that house prices across Spain have fallen by 25 per cent since 2007. These price drops are now expected to continue in 2012.

Knight Frank’s Prime Global Forecast has predicted that global economic uncertainty will push Madrid’s property values down in the next 12 months. But with investors attracted by Spain’s declining property prices, Madrid’s fall of “less than five per cent” may provide more opportunities for international buyers. As Murcia prepares for the construction of its much-awaited Paramount Theme Park, buyers can benefit from the national downward trend while costs remain low.

Julio Adams said “Demand for key ready homes in this area is already high and we expect an equity boost of around 15 per cent for early buyers when the first spade goes in to start construction of Paramount Park.” With some Spanish regions seeing a gradual recovery and the number of foreign transactions on the up, the government’s reworked deficit plans may take Spain’s housing market in a positive new direction for the New Year.

World’s housing market has a weak third quarter

Spain and Tenerife fail to buck the trend of weaker house prices

The world’s housing markets had a weak third quarter of 2011, according to the latest survey of worldwide house price indices prepared by the Global Property Guide.   During the year to end Q3 2011, house prices fell in 25 countries (out of the 44 for which quarterly house price statistics are available) and rose in only 19.

Moreover, 26 housing markets performed more poorly during the year to the third quarter than last year, while only 18 countries performed better. 

The Global Property Guide’s statistical presentation uses price-changes after inflation, giving a more realistic picture than the more upbeat nominal figures usually preferred by real estate agents.

The world’s second strongest quarter-on-quarter house price rise occurred in an unexpected city – Vienna, where house prices surged by 5.44% during the quarter (and +4.25% on the year), continuing 6 years of nearly unbroken price rises for Austria’s capital.

The Irish housing market remains the world’s weakest performer. House prices were down 15.61% year-on-year, the steepest decline since 2008.  Quarter-on-quarter, Ireland’s house prices slid 4.25%.

Several other European housing markets experienced accelerated downturns during the year ending in the third quarter of 2011, including Netherlands (-5.20%), Portugal (-6.77%), Slovak Republic (-7.94%), Warsaw, Poland (-7.95%), Spain (-8.41%) and Bulgaria (-9.65%).

Spanish property market over the worst?

Property slump over the worst in Spain and Tenerife?

A growing number of experts believe that the Spanish property market is showing tentative signs of recovery following one of the most spectacular housing crashes of all time.

Spanish property sales and prices have plummeted across the country in the past five years, on the back of the global credit crisis, a string of corruption scandals, a chronic oversupply of housing, a string of illegally constructed homes, a weak economy, high unemployment and a record level of foreclosures.

It is estimated that property prices have fallen by up to 70% in some parts of the country since the market peak of late 2006 leaving many people in negative equity and others facing repossession.

Although property prices are unlikely to bounce back anytime soon, some property commentators and professionals feel as though the market is reaching the bottom of the downturn.

Mark Stucklin of Spanish Property  commented: “I am of the opinion that this is about as low as the Spanish property market will go in volume terms. Q4 may well be another record low, but after that I expect the market to bottom out in the course of 2012. This is not to say there will be a strong recovery after that , far from it. But at least the market will have stopped shrinking.”

The latest report Global House Price report from Knight Frank suggests that market in Spain, along with some other struggling European nations, could be  over the worst