TINSA and government house price index shows falling prices

February 2, 2012 – 10:37 am

Tinsa and government index shows property sales in Tenerife and Spain down in 2011

The House Price Index published by the Department of Housing shows house prices falling 6.8pc in 2011, and 19pc since the peak

Last week it was the appraisal company Tinsa’s house price index showing prices down 8pc in 2011. Now it’s the turn of the Government to publish it’s housing price index for 2011, showing a broadly similar decline of 6.8pc over 12 months to the end of December .

Both the Tinsa index and this one show  a double-dip starting at the end of 2010 and price-falls accelerating in the course of 2011.

After adjusting for inflation, Spanish house prices fell 9.6pc in real terms in 2011. So anyone with an inflation proof income (the majority of Spaniards with indefinite labour contracts) saw the real cost of buying a house fall by 10pc last year, or more if you include the 50% reduction in VAT on new homes.

Prices fell the most in Aragon (-10.4pc), Madrid (-8.2pc), Andalucia (-7.8pc) and Catalonia (-7.7pc), and the least in The Basque Region (-3.1pc), Asturias (-2.7pc), and Extremadura (-2.1pc). According to Fernando Encinar, head of research at the  Idealista, “there is no reason to think that anything is going to change in 2012.”

Of course you have to take all the official figures with a large pinch of salt. If the official index shows declines of 6.8pc, the reality was probably something between 10 and 15pc.

Soon to be published, and all that remains to be seen for 2011, is the official House Price Index from the National Statistics Institute, which should come out in the next month or two, and which tends to be used by the international press. Based on past form it will probably understate price declines more than any other index, which partly explains why so many articles in the international press say that Spanish property prices haven’t fallen enough.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Bargain homes in Spain prove popular with international buyers.

January 26, 2012 – 10:05 pm

Bargain hunters in property are investing in Tenerife and Spain

Overseas nationals spent €3.6bn (£2.3bn) on buying homes in Spain in 2011, as they took advantage of significantly discounted properties, according to data supplied by the Bank of Spain. The figures show that foreign property investment in Spain increased by 27% last year compared to the preceding year.

With Spain’s economy in turmoil and the housing market in disarray, owed largely to a major oversupply of homes, property prices have been in freefall, attracting more bargain hunters in the process. The hike in property sales in 2011 marks a second consecutive year of growth in international investment with 2011 beating the total value of transactions in 2010.

Many property professionals believe that the rise in foreign investment activity is a sign that property market conditions are improving. Spanish journalist Daniel Talavera  believes that the Spanish property market is now touching rock bottom of the downturn.

“2011 has probably been the worst year in terms of property prices and sales drop. If the price fall in 2010 was by 3% compared to 2009, the mentioned fall of 6.85% in 2011 compared to 2010 confirms that the market is reaching its lowest at the right speed.”

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Martinez new director for housing, land and architecture.

January 20, 2012 – 7:26 pm

Pilar Martínez  is the new Director of Architecture, Housing and Land for the national government in Madrid. She takes over a tricky post from Beatriz Corredor, the former Secretary of State for Housing under the Socialist Government.

Her office is part of the Ministry of Public Works and she will report to Ana Pastor, the new Minister in charge of that department. Martínez previously worked as head of housing in Madrid’s municipal government.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do | Tagged , , , , , | Comments (0)

Spain stepping up tax plans

January 3, 2012 – 10:07 pm

Spain's taxation approach helping property sales in Tenerife?

Spain is stepping up its tax plans to tackle the country’s deficit, but buyers are snapping up property regardless as further price drops are predicted for 2012.

The Spanish government’s predictions initially stated that national debt would amount to 6 per cent of GDP for 2011, but it was revealed last week that these figures were incorrect and that the country deficit is closer to 8 per cent.

Since then, Spain’s government has added that the debt “could be even higher”, according to The Daily Mail, prompting the recently elected Popular Party to go back on its pledge not to raise taxes. Property tax is expected to increase for homes above average value, Spain’s swift economic action has been welcomed by the EU as the country tries to reassure international investors who are snapping up properties at low prices.

Indeed, reports at the end of December from Global Property Guide found that foreign property transactions surged by 24.7 per cent in the third quarter of 2011, compared to the same period in 2010.

Alicante, Barcelona, the Balearic, Canary Islands and Malaga were all highlighted as popular areas for buyers, with research from Scotibank Group showing that house prices across Spain have fallen by 25 per cent since 2007. These price drops are now expected to continue in 2012.

Knight Frank’s Prime Global Forecast has predicted that global economic uncertainty will push Madrid’s property values down in the next 12 months. But with investors attracted by Spain’s declining property prices, Madrid’s fall of “less than five per cent” may provide more opportunities for international buyers. As Murcia prepares for the construction of its much-awaited Paramount Theme Park, buyers can benefit from the national downward trend while costs remain low.

Julio Adams said “Demand for key ready homes in this area is already high and we expect an equity boost of around 15 per cent for early buyers when the first spade goes in to start construction of Paramount Park.” With some Spanish regions seeing a gradual recovery and the number of foreign transactions on the up, the government’s reworked deficit plans may take Spain’s housing market in a positive new direction for the New Year.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

World’s housing market has a weak third quarter

December 15, 2011 – 11:05 am

Spain and Tenerife fail to buck the trend of weaker house prices

The world’s housing markets had a weak third quarter of 2011, according to the latest survey of worldwide house price indices prepared by the Global Property Guide.   During the year to end Q3 2011, house prices fell in 25 countries (out of the 44 for which quarterly house price statistics are available) and rose in only 19.

Moreover, 26 housing markets performed more poorly during the year to the third quarter than last year, while only 18 countries performed better. 

The Global Property Guide’s statistical presentation uses price-changes after inflation, giving a more realistic picture than the more upbeat nominal figures usually preferred by real estate agents.

The world’s second strongest quarter-on-quarter house price rise occurred in an unexpected city – Vienna, where house prices surged by 5.44% during the quarter (and +4.25% on the year), continuing 6 years of nearly unbroken price rises for Austria’s capital.

The Irish housing market remains the world’s weakest performer. House prices were down 15.61% year-on-year, the steepest decline since 2008.  Quarter-on-quarter, Ireland’s house prices slid 4.25%.

Several other European housing markets experienced accelerated downturns during the year ending in the third quarter of 2011, including Netherlands (-5.20%), Portugal (-6.77%), Slovak Republic (-7.94%), Warsaw, Poland (-7.95%), Spain (-8.41%) and Bulgaria (-9.65%).

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Holiday, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Spanish property market over the worst?

December 8, 2011 – 5:20 pm

Property slump over the worst in Spain and Tenerife?

A growing number of experts believe that the Spanish property market is showing tentative signs of recovery following one of the most spectacular housing crashes of all time.

Spanish property sales and prices have plummeted across the country in the past five years, on the back of the global credit crisis, a string of corruption scandals, a chronic oversupply of housing, a string of illegally constructed homes, a weak economy, high unemployment and a record level of foreclosures.

It is estimated that property prices have fallen by up to 70% in some parts of the country since the market peak of late 2006 leaving many people in negative equity and others facing repossession.

Although property prices are unlikely to bounce back anytime soon, some property commentators and professionals feel as though the market is reaching the bottom of the downturn.

Mark Stucklin of Spanish Property  commented: “I am of the opinion that this is about as low as the Spanish property market will go in volume terms. Q4 may well be another record low, but after that I expect the market to bottom out in the course of 2012. This is not to say there will be a strong recovery after that , far from it. But at least the market will have stopped shrinking.”

The latest report Global House Price report from Knight Frank suggests that market in Spain, along with some other struggling European nations, could be  over the worst

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

3.4 Million Spanish homes are empty.

December 2, 2011 – 11:08 am

Too many empty homes in Spain

3.4 million Spanish homes lie empty, 13pc of the total housing stock  according to a new report from IDC. There are 676,000 empty homes in Barcelona and Madrid alone. Of the two, Barcelona has the biggest problem.

This is a “worrying situation with very negative consequences, principally a huge cost,” explains Carlos Parra, Director of IDC, quoted in the Spanish press. The empty homes are neither for sale nor for rent.

At the same time, tens of thousands of homes are being repossessed, and millions of young adults can’t afford their own home.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Bankinter’s latest report on Spanish housing market.

December 1, 2011 – 9:57 am

 

Bankinter's latest report suggests that Spanish house prices will fall again

According to Bankinter’s latest report on the housing market in Spain, housing prices will fall an additional 6% up to the end of 2013, making an adjustment of 30% in real terms from their peak, and only begin to rise again in early 2014, when the economy is capable of generating employment and demand recovers.

With regard to their forecast made last April, the financial institution have deferred for a year the adjustment in the housing sector, saying that promoter activity will not take off until the last quarter of 2014, when the housing ‘stock’ will have reduced to below the 500,000 mark.

Until then, only discounts and minimum production, will “very slowly” digest a ‘stock’ of houses which now stands at, they estimate, between 850,000 and 900,000 homes, of which about 200,000 or 250,000 belong to financial institutions. Bankinter sees the two years ahead with demand at minimum levels because of high rates of unemployment, which in 2011 alone saw home sales plunge to around 200,000 new properties, which was 55% less than what was sold in 2007, the year with the highest recorded demand in history (412,000 homes).

Bankinter’s calculations suggest that the Spanish economy will grow 0.7% in 2011, half of what the Government anticipated  1.2% in 2012 and 1.6% in 2013, below the 2% needed to create jobs, reported Cinco Dias.

Source: Kyero.com

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INE say sales down in September

November 21, 2011 – 10:25 am

House sales down say INE

There were just 22,065 home sales in September (excluding social housing), 30.5pc down on the same month last year and 62pc down on September 2007, according to the latest figures from the National Institute of Statistics (INE).

Monthly sales this year since March have been the lowest since the crisis began. The positive start looks like a dead-cat-bounce. On a year-to-date basis sales in 2011 are 20pc below last year, and 56pc below 2007. The big question is can it get any worse in 2012?

Sales have been bad this year, falling by as much as 40pc in August, with an average annualised fall of 29pc each month since March. the market is shrinking fast, a clear sign that prices are still too high.

All this at a time when Spain is saddled with a monumental glut of homes for sale, not to mention unemployment of 22pc and rising. More than 40pc of young Spanish adults are out of work. Demographics are also starting to blow against the Spanish economy.

Unless the newly elected  Government takes radical steps to liberalise the economy, boost employment, and force banks to stop keeping property prices artificially high, it’s hard to see a way out of this mire.

What about holiday homes? The situation is a bit different because demand is internationally diversified, at least in some areas such as Tenerife. Some quality segments of the holiday home market will recover before the overall housing market. That said, this year and next year will be very tough.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Inspirational, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Euribor rate rises

November 9, 2011 – 10:52 am

Euribor rates rises again in Spain and Tenerife

Euribor (12 months), the interest rate normally used to calculate mortgage repayments in Spain, rose to 2.11pc in October , a percentage increase of 2.1pc on the previous month.

Over 12 months Euribor was up 41.1pc, which means higher monthly mortgage payments for those with annually resetting Spanish mortgages. Average mortgage repayments will rise by around €45/month, €540/year

New mortgage lending is the lifeblood of the housing market without which most Spaniards cannot afford to buy homes. So it is particularly worrying that new lending fell 49pc in August compared to a year before, the lowest level on record for this data series published by the Statistics Institute (INE). New mortgage lending has now fallen for 16 consecutive months, suggesting that the credit crunch is still alive and well in Spain.

The average new mortgage value in August was €106,922, 12.6pc lower than a year before.

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)