Banks are going to be forced to sell properties in Spain cheaply, accelerating a four year decline in residential property values that are already 30% below the peak reached in 2007. Most Spanish property market commentators agree that home prices in the country still have a long way to fall. But despite historically low demand and a glut of homes on the market, vendors, residential developers, estate agents and banks have been reluctant to slash property prices sufficiently to meet today’s perceived market value, in order to avoid major losses.
But Economy Minister Luis de Guindos is now leaning on lenders to make €50bn (£42bn) of additional provisions and capital charges for losses linked to real estate over the next two years. Consequently, residential property prices are now poised to fall the most on record this year, leaving a quarter of all home owners in negative equity, as the government forces the banks to sell real estate holdings.
According to research conducted by advisory firm R.R. de Acuna & Asociados, the average price of a home in Spain will fall by 12%-14% this year. That’s the most since the National Statistics Institute started tracking values in 2007.
Based on an analysis of 800,000 mortgages, Standard & Poor’s forecasts borrowers with negative equity may increase to 25% this year, up from 8% in 2010. “There will be more serious price drops this year because of the government decree,” said Fernando Rodriguez de Acuna Martinez, a partner at the Madrid-based firm. “Banks are now prepared to incur big losses on real estate to shift all they can.”







