TINSA and government house price index shows falling prices

Tinsa and government index shows property sales in Tenerife and Spain down in 2011

The House Price Index published by the Department of Housing shows house prices falling 6.8pc in 2011, and 19pc since the peak

Last week it was the appraisal company Tinsa’s house price index showing prices down 8pc in 2011. Now it’s the turn of the Government to publish it’s housing price index for 2011, showing a broadly similar decline of 6.8pc over 12 months to the end of December .

Both the Tinsa index and this one show  a double-dip starting at the end of 2010 and price-falls accelerating in the course of 2011.

After adjusting for inflation, Spanish house prices fell 9.6pc in real terms in 2011. So anyone with an inflation proof income (the majority of Spaniards with indefinite labour contracts) saw the real cost of buying a house fall by 10pc last year, or more if you include the 50% reduction in VAT on new homes.

Prices fell the most in Aragon (-10.4pc), Madrid (-8.2pc), Andalucia (-7.8pc) and Catalonia (-7.7pc), and the least in The Basque Region (-3.1pc), Asturias (-2.7pc), and Extremadura (-2.1pc). According to Fernando Encinar, head of research at the  Idealista, “there is no reason to think that anything is going to change in 2012.”

Of course you have to take all the official figures with a large pinch of salt. If the official index shows declines of 6.8pc, the reality was probably something between 10 and 15pc.

Soon to be published, and all that remains to be seen for 2011, is the official House Price Index from the National Statistics Institute, which should come out in the next month or two, and which tends to be used by the international press. Based on past form it will probably understate price declines more than any other index, which partly explains why so many articles in the international press say that Spanish property prices haven’t fallen enough.

Developers ask government for mortgage interest tax relief on holiday homes

Developers ask for reduction of tax on properties in Spain and Tenerife

The G14 association of Spain’s leading developers says it will ask the Government to introduce mortgage interest tax relief on holiday homes to stimulate demand and deal with Spain’s   empty new holiday homes on the coast.

The Government has just reintroduced mortgage interest tax relief on main homes, despite the fact that it favours owner-occupiers at the expense of those who rent, and makes it harder for Spain to reach its stated goal of increasing the rental market. Developers want a similar tax break for holiday homes.

Some industry voices like Antonio Carroza  have wasted no time in describing the request as “irresponsible”. He believes it is wrong to use public money to subsidise “large developers so they can sell second homes that should never have been built,” he said, quoted in the Spanish press. In any event the tax relief would only apply to Spanish residents, not foreigners buying holiday homes in Spain and Tenerife.

The G14 has also called on the Government to reduce the ITP sales tax on resale properties.

Martinez new director for housing, land and architecture.

Pilar Martínez  is the new Director of Architecture, Housing and Land for the national government in Madrid. She takes over a tricky post from Beatriz Corredor, the former Secretary of State for Housing under the Socialist Government.

Her office is part of the Ministry of Public Works and she will report to Ana Pastor, the new Minister in charge of that department. Martínez previously worked as head of housing in Madrid’s municipal government.

Fitch ratings property prediction for Spain

Property bargains in Spain and Tenerife according to Fitch

Spain’s property market will not grow in 2012, the Fitch ratings agency has predicted. The country’s GDP growth is forecast at zero per cent, with Fitch adding that any growth will be limited to the long term, but agents are confident that the country’s continuing debt crisis remains good news for investors.

With property prices declining by 8.9 per cent in the third quarter of last year, according to the recent Scotiabank report, houses in Spain are now over a quarter cheaper than in 2007. This represents a market full of bargains for foreign buyers, boosted by the government’s decision at the beginning of the year to reinstate 2011′s reduction in VAT.

While Spanish officials have since announced plans to raise income taxes to encourage economic growth, at the moment VAT remains 50 per cent cheaper for new homes, with a stamp duty of 1.2 per cent.

Sergio Bolivar comments: “This means that a person who buys a new property worth €200,000 will save €5,600 compared to buying a second hand one. Even with the European climate the way it is, now is a great time for investors to pick up affordable Spanish property.” Tenerife is clearly an area awash with bargains now

Victory in Spanish election to herald a change in Spain’s property market?

People's Party victory in Spain may help property sales in Tenerife

The landslide victory for the People’s Party in Spain’s General Election is hoped to herald an avalanche of change for the country’s property market. The Centre-Right party’s triumph follows elections in Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal as Spain becomes the fifth Eurozone country to switch government this year. The real estate industry is now urging the government to act, as thousands of discounted homes across the country remain unsold. Tax cuts and tourism initiatives are two of the measures anticipated by property professionals, as Spain’s appeal to lifestyle buyers remains strong, partially helped by the existing VAT reduction for new homes. “Spain still has arguably the best weather in Europe, is easy to get to and property is relatively cheap,” Spanish agency Mercers commented,  while house builders such as Taylor Wimpey have seen success by slashing VAT altogether. Marc Pritchard, Taylor Wimpey’s Sales Manager, comments: “We initiated the NO VAT policy as a way of assisting potential buyers further especially seeing as buyers have executed caution when committing to Spanish property. Indeed, we have seen considerable interest in our VAT free properties since its introduction and with only weeks to go before this rare time-limited opportunity for investors to purchase their dream home in Spain VAT free ends, we are urging property hunters to invest now before it too late.” As with the UK, unemployment is a central component to Spain’s recession, particularly for under-30s, and tax changes by the PP could create jobs as well as stimulate investor interest. In Motril, for example, an ambitious land development was scrapped when the market crashed. But plans have since been changed to a reworked “sporting and marina complex” that could create 1,000 jobs, as Spanish developers look for new ways to encourage investment. The council’s chief architect Juan Fernando Perez Estevez explains to Reuters: “It is something that will attract high-end customers who will need services. And it will be the catalyst for further activity. We’ve got the infrastructure, the motorway, so this is an important development that will attract investment.” Construction has always been a key source of jobs in Spain. At the peak of the housing boom, construction,when the People’s Party (dubbed the “Pro Property Party”) were last in power, 2.8 million people were employed in the building sector, but this has now dropped to 1.4 million – just 7.8 per cent of the working population. With unemployment high, Spaniards cannot afford new homes and banks continue to repossess property. With many seized assets turning sour, banks are losing out on billions of Euros, yet the Bank of Spain accused them in recent months of “holding back” the best properties until house prices have returned to higher levels. Around 600,000 “bottom of the market bargains” are currently available on the market, according to Property in Spain. And so Spain relies on overseas buyers to boost demand. Hopes reside in the new Spanish government, recognised as taking the problem more seriously, to continue selling off land assets in prime locations and encourage foreign investment. If the Eurozone remains stable, Reuters adds, “Spain can rebuild”. Some, including Property in Spain, are looking for immediate solutions: “The new Government has one month to the start of the New Year buying season to come up with enough incentives and safeguards to get more buyers tempted by the genuine bargains and mortgage deals on offer.” As the industry awaits new incentives to clear the large stock of discounted homes, prime Costa property at cheap prices is expected to eventually bring back international buyers to the country’s sunny coasts. According to a forecast from Bankinter last week, Spain’s supply will last for several years, but houses are predicted to become even cheaper for buyers, with prices falling another 6 per cent by 2013. It is a long road to recovery but in time, the PP’s acronym may stand for “Pro Property” once again. “There won’t be any miracles. We never promised any,” said the Prime Minister-elect Mariano Rajoy, who will be sworn into office in December. “But as we have said before, when things are done properly, the results come in.”

Spanish property hangs on to most of the boom time gains

Spanish property hangs on to most of the gains from the boom years

Spanish property has managed to hang onto most of the capital gains it made during the boom, at least according to official figures. Other Eurozone countries have fared worse.

During the boom, the only Eurozone countries that experienced higher property price inflation than Spain (+155pc) were Ireland (+172pc) and Malta (+157pc), according to a new report from the European Commission.

Since the bubble burst, Irish property prices have fallen 38pc, and Maltese property prices by 11pc. In Spain, prices are down 22pc, according to the official house price index from the Government (-24pc according to the latest Tinsa index).

That means that Spanish property has managed to hang onto around three quarters of the capital gains it made during the boom, no mean feat given the economic crisis, credit crunch, and collapse in sales (Spanish property sales down 40pc in August alone).

Significant fall in property prices according to Tinsa.

Property prices falling in Spain especially by the coast

According to José Manuel Galindo, President fo the APCE builders and developers association, the fall in property prices, has been “significant”.

Prices are now down a total of 26pc in real terms since their peak, says Galindo, taking into account inflation and a reduction in VAT. When it comes to holiday homes on the coast, however, the falls have been more brutal. Prices on the coast have fallen by 32pc, according to Tinsa, and anecdotal evidence suggests it might even be higher than that.

Galindo stressed that many developers cannot afford to reduce prices any further. “Developers can’t sell below the cost of their mortgage, because they no longer have the money to afford the adjustment,” he explained.

 In the long-run, price will fall to affordable levels, regardless of how much builders or banks have to lose in the process.

Turning to the collapse in sales (down 40pc in August alone) Galindo blamed it on the lack of credit and local “purchasing capacity” and pinned his hopes on foreign buyers heping Spain mop up its glut of close to 300,000 unsold new homes on the coast.

He also described the recent Government led road show to promote Spanish property around Europe “rather ineffective”.

Spain eases conditions for those with mortgage problems

Spanish mortgages problems may be eased?

Spain will ease conditions for people who can’t pay their mortgages as floating interest rates rise and unemployment remains the highest in the European Union, the government said on Thursday.

Interior Minister Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba said the government will decree  a new and higher limit on the amount banks can legally deduct from the wages of a mortgage holder in default.

The government is contemplating other new rules to protect homeowners four years after a property bubble burst leaving many Spaniards stuck in homes worth much less than what they owe the bank.

“Indignados” or “indignant” protests around Spain in recent months have called on the government to address the plight of borrowers who can be evicted by the banks but still owe the entire amount of their mortgage even though the bank now owns their home.

Source: Reuters.com

No VAT increase in Spain says Salgado

No VAT increase in Spain, Tenerife and the Canary Islands

The Government’s financial vice president, Elena Salgado, has responded to the suggestion of the Bank of Spain to raise VAT in order to generate more revenue, by saying that the Government “will not increase VAT, since it would have a negative effect on consumption”, as was argued at the European Commission. “To be clearer, the Government will not increase the VAT,” she added.

At a press conference to present the Ministry of Development’s advertising campaign on rehabilitation, Salgado said that “fiscal policy is the responsibility of the Government which then must be approved by Parliament”, to which she added that Government revenues are behaving as expected, and “it is not necessary to raise VAT to achieve fiscal consolidation.”

In the same vein, she praised Brussels’ decision to back down in its request to raise Spain’s tax as a counterweight to a reduction in social contributions, and stressed that the European Commission has been “sensitive” to the Government’s arguments. At this point, Salgado also rejected the possibility of reducing social security contributions, stating that “we should wait a bit before taking steps in that direction,” at least to see how the pension reforms progress.

On the other hand, asked about the proposal of the bank run by Miguel Angel Fernandez Ordonez to set expenditure ceilings in the Autonomous Communities , the Minister of Economy stated that “the regions themselves must decide” if they set an expenditure ceiling, given their “financial independence.”

Source: Kyero.com

Housing glut to shrink to manageable level by 2013 says Spain’s Ministry of Finance

Housing glut lasts in mainland Spain but improves in Tenerife and the islands

In a drive to reassure international money markets that Spain can deal with its real estate problems, the Ministry of Finance has claimed that Spain’s infamous housing-glut will shrink to a manageable level of 200,000 homes by 2013.

For that to happen Spain will have to sell 900,000 new homes between now and then (300,000 per year), whilst building around 175,000 new homes on average per year. In the chart above, the dotted line forecasts the new housing inventory in 2013.

Some experts have raised doubts that the market will be able to digest 300,000 new homes per year, bearing in mind that resale transactions must also be taken into account.

According to the latest figures from the Government (Fomento) and the property register, analysed in an article by El Confidencial, the net change in the number of new homes on the market over the latest 12 months was a decline of just 30,000, way below Government estimates for the next few years. If that rate continues it will take several years longer to digest the glut. The Government also produced an analysis of the relationship between price falls and the stock of new homes on the market in different areas.

 Madrid and coastal provinces of mainland Spain, where most holiday-homes are located, tend to have the largest gluts and price falls. However the islands such as Tenerife and Majorca have seen an upturn in prices this year