Sterling high good news for Brits buying property in Tenerife and eurozone.

January 27, 2012 – 10:55 am

Sterling high against the Euro a boost for property buyers in Tenerife and Spain

There was good news for Brits seeking to buy property in the eurozone as sterling reached a 15-month high against the euro currency. The euro’s value depreciated against the UK pound on the back of fresh concerns regarding the the health of the eurozone’s banking system.

Sterling increased by 0.73% to €1.208 on Wednesday  its highest level since September 2010. The euro also fell 0.95% against the dollar to $1.293. Despite concerns about the fragile state of the UK economy, it is generally considered to be doing better than the Eurozone, which is struggling with a major debt crisis.

Geoffrey Yu, currency strategist at UBS, told Reuters: “Maybe the UK is approaching a consensus (for a recession) but it’s not there yet. And there’s no break-up risk, so people are more willing to allocate funding from a passive perspective at the start of the year.”

However, despite the recent recovery in the strength of the pound versus the euro, some currency experts do not expect sterling’s value to increase much further in the short- to medium-term.

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Spain’s central bank forecasts contraction of 1.5% this year

January 23, 2012 – 4:14 pm

Spain's Central Bank expects contraction of 1.5% this year

Spain’s central bank on Monday forecast that the country, which is struggling to slash its deficit and debt, will fall back into recession this year with a contraction of 1.5 percent.

The Bank of Spain said however it expects Spain’s economy to make a modest rebound in 2013 with growth in gross domestic product (GDP) of 0.2 percent. It added that it estimates the economy to have grown by 0.7 percent in 2011.

“In 2011 the modest recovery which the Spanish economy began a year earlier weakened as the eurozone sovereign debt crisis extended to a greater number of countries and financial market tensions strengthened,” it said in a report. Source: Google.com

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Spain reclaims property crown

January 9, 2012 – 5:57 pm

Spain and Tenerife property in demand

Spain has reclaimed its property crown, according to the latest Top of the Props report from TheMoveChannel. Following America’s unexpected victory in November, US property fell in popularity last month, dropping three places in the overseas portal’s chart.

That dip was all Spain needed to soar back to top spot. Buyers seemed to flock to America to avoid Europe’s troubled markets, Spain, Portugal and France charged up the table, pushing America down to fourth. In total, the top three destinations accounted for just over a third of all enquiries on the site in December.

While US enquiries fell by 7.32 per cent, Spain’s popularity dropped by only 0.18 per cent. This steady level of attention, driven by low prices and the country’s reduction in VAT during 2011, reflects the continuing demand for Spanish property from lifestyle buyers.

This proves that holiday home demand can still buck the Eurozone’s downward trend if the prices are right.  Despite Spain’s return to form, investors are still willing to look elsewhere to avoid Europe’s more troubled economies.

Managing Director Dan Johnson comments: “As 2011 ends, the fluctuations in the Top 10 show the changing buyer demands in an uncertain market. Spain has always been a traditional choice for lifestyle buyers, as evidenced by the constant level of interest in the country. In fact, for the majority of last year, Spain was the most sought-after property destination on TheMoveChannel. so its return to the top spot seems an appropriate end to the year.

“Barbados and Morocco are equally attractive lifestyle choices that are free of Eurozone anxiety, but France and Portugal’s strong performance in December is a reassuring sign for more familiar property markets. As the New Year begins, we shall see if the popularity of these European countries will be strong enough to weather the economic climate in 2012.”

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Euribor rate falls for fourth month in a row

January 4, 2012 – 11:40 am

Euribor down again which means mortgage repayments up in Spain and Tenerife

Euribor, (12 months), the interest rate typically used to calculate mortgage repayments in Spain, fell for the fourth month in a row to end the year at 2.01, a percentage fall of 1.7pc on the previous month. Compared to the 12 months ago, however, Euribor rose by 33.4pc, meaning higher mortgage repayments for all those on annually resetting mortgages.

The European Central Bank (ECB) cut base rates from 1.25 to 1.00 during December, the second cut in 2 months since the Italian Mario Draghi took over as the new Governor. Markets were expecting the cut, and judging by Euribor’s recent trend do not expect rates to increase any time soon. As you can see from the following chart, Eurozone base rates are still significantly higher then the US, the UK, and Japan.

New mortgage lending continued to shrink in October, with new mortgage approvals down 43pc to 23,193 (and down 46.5pc by value), according to figures from the INE. It’s clear the credit crunch is well and truly back in Spain.

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Spain’s property reign ended by America

December 12, 2011 – 10:22 am

US overtakes Spain in the property market

The reign of Spain has been ended by America, according to the latest Top of the Props report .

Spanish property used to be the favourite for buyers, with the sunny Costas attracting swarms of house hunters every year. But now there’s a new top dog as the US replaces Spain in the overseas property portal’s rankings, upsetting the market’s established order to become the most popular destination in November.

The US has long played second fiddle to both France and Spain for property buyers but in October, America leapfrogged France to become a surprise runner-up in TheMoveChannel’s chart. Now, an increase of 7.01 percent in enquiries has seen the US surge to number one, with foreclosed homes and bargain house prices eclipsing the opportunities available in Europe.

Spain could only stand and watch as enquiries fell by 2.38 per cent last month, despite its half-price VAT reduction on new homes until the end of the year. France, on the other hand, remained firm in third place, attracting exactly the same number of enquiries in November and October, demonstrating the country’s consistent appeal to investors.

Managing Director Dan Johnson comments: “After climbing three places in as many months, the US continues to attract more and more overseas investors. Florida remains a popular lifestyle choice and with US houses the most affordable they have been in 15 years, the troubled Eurozone just can’t compete with the low price of American real estate. It’s no coincidence that the US is the only country to rise above the four familiar European markets.

As Spain’s reign ends, America’s dominance begins. Indeed, while the industry speculates about the impact of the Euro upon the rest of the world, North America’s rise to first place is exactly the kind of stimulant the US housing market needs

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Property prices to fall further?

November 28, 2011 – 9:37 am

 The distressed nature of the Spanish property market combined with the country’s fragile economy suggests that property prices will fall further, despite the fact that they have tumbled nationwide since the peak of the market in 2007. The Eurozone debt crisis that has already seen three countries, Greece, Ireland and Portugal bailed out is now threatening much bigger economies like Italy and Spain. Furthermore, with unemployment and foreclosure levels in Spain both growing, it is hard to see how further price falls are not inevitable, presenting purchasers with an opportunity to bag an even cheaper priced home in Spain. Fresh research by an association of homeowners facing foreclosure (AFES), reveals that almost 20% of Spanish mortgages signed between the boom years of 2004 and 2008 are or will become delinquent. AFES calculate that over 700,000 families will have had their homes repossessed by 2015, which is a tragedy. But while extremely unfortunate, it does present those in a position to buy property, with an opportunity to secure a home at an even cheaper price, crushing any slim hopes that that market will soon embark on the road to recover. Mark Stucklin of Spanish Property Insight wrote: “Specifically, there were four million home purchases between 2004 and 2008 , the bubble years of the Spanish property boom  of which 170,000 have already been foreclosed, another 170,000 are in process, and another 375,000 are expected to be repossessed by 2015.” “All this at a time when there are more than three million empty homes in Spain,” he added. AFES propose partial or total debt forgiveness by banks, more mortgage lending, and lower property prices to making housing affordable. “The big social drama is that after losing their homes people are saddled with debts they can never afford to pay,” said Carlos Baños, President of AFES. or total debt forgiveness by banks, more mortgage lending, and lower property prices to making housing affordable. “The big social drama is that after losing their homes people are saddled with debts they can never afford to pay,” said Carlos Baños, President of AFES.

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Victory in Spanish election to herald a change in Spain’s property market?

November 23, 2011 – 9:43 am

People's Party victory in Spain may help property sales in Tenerife

The landslide victory for the People’s Party in Spain’s General Election is hoped to herald an avalanche of change for the country’s property market. The Centre-Right party’s triumph follows elections in Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal as Spain becomes the fifth Eurozone country to switch government this year. The real estate industry is now urging the government to act, as thousands of discounted homes across the country remain unsold. Tax cuts and tourism initiatives are two of the measures anticipated by property professionals, as Spain’s appeal to lifestyle buyers remains strong, partially helped by the existing VAT reduction for new homes. “Spain still has arguably the best weather in Europe, is easy to get to and property is relatively cheap,” Spanish agency Mercers commented,  while house builders such as Taylor Wimpey have seen success by slashing VAT altogether. Marc Pritchard, Taylor Wimpey’s Sales Manager, comments: “We initiated the NO VAT policy as a way of assisting potential buyers further especially seeing as buyers have executed caution when committing to Spanish property. Indeed, we have seen considerable interest in our VAT free properties since its introduction and with only weeks to go before this rare time-limited opportunity for investors to purchase their dream home in Spain VAT free ends, we are urging property hunters to invest now before it too late.” As with the UK, unemployment is a central component to Spain’s recession, particularly for under-30s, and tax changes by the PP could create jobs as well as stimulate investor interest. In Motril, for example, an ambitious land development was scrapped when the market crashed. But plans have since been changed to a reworked “sporting and marina complex” that could create 1,000 jobs, as Spanish developers look for new ways to encourage investment. The council’s chief architect Juan Fernando Perez Estevez explains to Reuters: “It is something that will attract high-end customers who will need services. And it will be the catalyst for further activity. We’ve got the infrastructure, the motorway, so this is an important development that will attract investment.” Construction has always been a key source of jobs in Spain. At the peak of the housing boom, construction,when the People’s Party (dubbed the “Pro Property Party”) were last in power, 2.8 million people were employed in the building sector, but this has now dropped to 1.4 million – just 7.8 per cent of the working population. With unemployment high, Spaniards cannot afford new homes and banks continue to repossess property. With many seized assets turning sour, banks are losing out on billions of Euros, yet the Bank of Spain accused them in recent months of “holding back” the best properties until house prices have returned to higher levels. Around 600,000 “bottom of the market bargains” are currently available on the market, according to Property in Spain. And so Spain relies on overseas buyers to boost demand. Hopes reside in the new Spanish government, recognised as taking the problem more seriously, to continue selling off land assets in prime locations and encourage foreign investment. If the Eurozone remains stable, Reuters adds, “Spain can rebuild”. Some, including Property in Spain, are looking for immediate solutions: “The new Government has one month to the start of the New Year buying season to come up with enough incentives and safeguards to get more buyers tempted by the genuine bargains and mortgage deals on offer.” As the industry awaits new incentives to clear the large stock of discounted homes, prime Costa property at cheap prices is expected to eventually bring back international buyers to the country’s sunny coasts. According to a forecast from Bankinter last week, Spain’s supply will last for several years, but houses are predicted to become even cheaper for buyers, with prices falling another 6 per cent by 2013. It is a long road to recovery but in time, the PP’s acronym may stand for “Pro Property” once again. “There won’t be any miracles. We never promised any,” said the Prime Minister-elect Mariano Rajoy, who will be sworn into office in December. “But as we have said before, when things are done properly, the results come in.”

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Inspirational, Miscellaneous Articles, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (1)

If Spain had kept the Peseta……..

November 18, 2011 – 3:26 pm

If Spain had kept the Peseta would the property crisis have been as bad?

If Spain had kept the Peseta the bubble would never have been so big, claims Max Otte, an economics professor and fund manager who forecast the crisis in a book published in 2006.

Otte explains that low interest rates that came with Euro-zone membership are the root of the problem. Egged on by the banks, Spaniards binged on cheap mortgage credit and drove the property market into a frenzy, making a traumatic bust inevitable.

Given where we are now, Spain would have been better off with higher interest rates and steady growth outside the Euro-zone, argues Otte in comments reported in the Spanish press. The boom years were no worth this bust.

He also claims it’s only a matter of time before Greece abandons the Euro, and recommends that Spain does so too. The Euro has been a waste of time and money, says Otte.

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Spanish property hangs on to most of the boom time gains

November 14, 2011 – 9:41 am

Spanish property hangs on to most of the gains from the boom years

Spanish property has managed to hang onto most of the capital gains it made during the boom, at least according to official figures. Other Eurozone countries have fared worse.

During the boom, the only Eurozone countries that experienced higher property price inflation than Spain (+155pc) were Ireland (+172pc) and Malta (+157pc), according to a new report from the European Commission.

Since the bubble burst, Irish property prices have fallen 38pc, and Maltese property prices by 11pc. In Spain, prices are down 22pc, according to the official house price index from the Government (-24pc according to the latest Tinsa index).

That means that Spanish property has managed to hang onto around three quarters of the capital gains it made during the boom, no mean feat given the economic crisis, credit crunch, and collapse in sales (Spanish property sales down 40pc in August alone).

By Angela | Posted in Economy, General, Health, Holiday, Inspirational, Property, Tenerife, Things to Do, Weather | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (0)

Expat savers unlikely to see interest rates rise in the near future.

September 28, 2011 – 2:11 pm

Expats in Tenerife unlikely to see interest rates rise in the near future

Expat British savers are unlikely to see interest rates rising for some time and whatever currency they use face poor growth prospects, according to a leading UK bank.

‘Growth prospects in the UK, Eurozone and US have worsened following a series of poor economic data. This, coupled with low domestically generated inflation in those markets, makes it less likely that central banks will increase interest rates any time soon, says Trevor Williams, economist at Lloyds TSB.

‘In fact, we now forecast that the UK base interest rate will be held at its current, historically low level of 0.5% until the third quarter of 2012. In the UK, the market is becoming less focused on inflation and more pre-occupied with the prospect of weakening growth,’ he explained.

He pointed out that the UK job market, a key indicator of growth, has softened noticeably in recent months and the preferred measure of unemployment stayed at 7.9% in the three months to July, just off its highest rate in 15 years.

Source: ExpatForum.com

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