Increasing numbers of Scandinavians are taking advantage of the crisis to buy holiday homes in Spain

Scandanavian buyers of property are looking to Tenerife and Spain for investment

According to a recent article at the website Investment Europe, “Figures published by Fastighetsbyrån, part of Swedish banking group Swedbank, suggest Swedish and Norwegian property buyers have pushed hard into the Spanish residential property market, as British and German buyers have withdrawn in the past half-decade.”

The article goes onto explain that “over the four year period, the number of UK buyers has dropped by 65% and German buyers by 3%. However, the number of Norwegian buyers is up 108%, and Swedes by 138%. The total market is still down 33% from its 2007 peak, the figures also suggest.”

Scandinavians are tempted by Spanish property, their economies are relatively strong, as are their currencies (the Norwegian and Swedish Krone/Krona have both risen by around 5pc against the Euro since the Spanish property bubble burst at the end of 2007, whilst the British Pound has fallen almost 20pc); Spanish property prices on the coast are down around 50pc or more from the peak, and the sun doesn’t shine much back at home. So Scandinavian buyers are taking advantage of the market to snap up bargains on the Mediterranean coast, and who can blame them?

Scandinavian buyers are not a panacea for the glut of holiday homes on the coast. For a start, with the pick of the best properties, I doubt they will be tempted by  the cheaper end of the market on the coast that also needs to be sold.  Unfortunately, there just aren’t enough of them to take the place of the retreating Brits, who dominated the market during the boom.

Spain most popular for currency exchange

Whilst Spain remains the most popular destination in terms of volume of currency transactions in 2011, interestingly, the UK takes second place with 18% of transactions according to the latest data compiled by FX specialist, Currency Index.

Almost a quarter of all FX transactions in 2011 (24.99%) were sent to Spain, unsurprising given the country’s appeal as a top holiday and second home destination.Robin Haynes, MD of award-winning Currency Index explains, “18.10% of FX transactions, nearly a fifth, last year were made back to the UK. This is most likely a result of people returning home from overseas or in a few cases sending currency to UK-based Euro/USD accounts for example, which can be overseas properties where a lawyer’s client account is in the UK for example. In addition, part of these transactions will be business clients repatriating income and also individuals earning money abroad. It really is a mixed bag but of note none the less.

“In Q4 2011, there was a 15% increase in people bringing money back to the UK probably due to the Euro crisis which sparked panic and saw people moving money back to locations seen as safe havens.”

Indeed, the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis has caused fear to spread but for those considering buying property abroad, the reduction of the value of the single currency means that now is in fact one of the cheapest times to buy a place in the sun.

Haynes comments, “There is a lot of confusion and scaremongering going on in the Euro at the moment but in spite of this, overseas property buyers should rest assured that the single currency devaluation will mean that they will currently be able get over 8% more for their money than if they were buying Euros in July last year.”

Sterling high good news for Brits buying property in Tenerife and eurozone.

Sterling high against the Euro a boost for property buyers in Tenerife and Spain

There was good news for Brits seeking to buy property in the eurozone as sterling reached a 15-month high against the euro currency. The euro’s value depreciated against the UK pound on the back of fresh concerns regarding the the health of the eurozone’s banking system.

Sterling increased by 0.73% to €1.208 on Wednesday  its highest level since September 2010. The euro also fell 0.95% against the dollar to $1.293. Despite concerns about the fragile state of the UK economy, it is generally considered to be doing better than the Eurozone, which is struggling with a major debt crisis.

Geoffrey Yu, currency strategist at UBS, told Reuters: “Maybe the UK is approaching a consensus (for a recession) but it’s not there yet. And there’s no break-up risk, so people are more willing to allocate funding from a passive perspective at the start of the year.”

However, despite the recent recovery in the strength of the pound versus the euro, some currency experts do not expect sterling’s value to increase much further in the short- to medium-term.

A weaker Euro means less pounds for British vendors who repatriate their funds to the UK

The weaker euro v the pound affecting property vendors in Tenerife and Spain

In the Euro zone , we continue to see the  single currency’s woes. For many investors and property owners in Spain it’s time to look at the bigger picture, which doesn’t paint a pretty scene as the hang-over continues into 2012.

The second half of last year revealed a number of detrimental factors that have hurt the Euro zone – a worrying decline in stocks, increase in unemployment, Governments finally pulling their heads out of the sand and recognising the problems within their own countries have all contributed to the crisis, which left people asking whether the single currency will even survive a year. It is a fair assumption that the Euro zone debt crisis will remain the central focus of markets going well into the New Year, so further weakening of the Euro is expected.

The outcome of the EU Summit last month did little to support the currency, with the outlining of plans to work towards greater fiscal integration in the euro zone failing to provide any comfort to the market as GBP-EUR pushed the €1.20 (0.833) level, and some forecasting €1.25 (0.8) by the end of February.

So the Euro could well continue to fall, in which case now might be a good time to sell it, or get a forward contract to do so if you are not yet ready (for example, if you are in the process of selling a property in Spain).

For example, if you wanted to change Euros into Pounds in June last year, when one Pound cost 1.11 Euros, but you didn’t have access to the Euros until December, a foward contract could have saved you £6,992.21. Firstly, you agree a rate of exchange for the amount of Euros that you are looking to sell and give a date that you know that the funds will be available before (bond maturity, or date of expected house completion for example).

A 10% deposit is needed within a few days of agreeing the rate and you can then relax and not be affected by any market movement, and can get your money at any stage at the fixed rate and all you need to do is send over the Euros when you have them before the end of forward contract.

Spain’s property reign ended by America

US overtakes Spain in the property market

The reign of Spain has been ended by America, according to the latest Top of the Props report .

Spanish property used to be the favourite for buyers, with the sunny Costas attracting swarms of house hunters every year. But now there’s a new top dog as the US replaces Spain in the overseas property portal’s rankings, upsetting the market’s established order to become the most popular destination in November.

The US has long played second fiddle to both France and Spain for property buyers but in October, America leapfrogged France to become a surprise runner-up in TheMoveChannel’s chart. Now, an increase of 7.01 percent in enquiries has seen the US surge to number one, with foreclosed homes and bargain house prices eclipsing the opportunities available in Europe.

Spain could only stand and watch as enquiries fell by 2.38 per cent last month, despite its half-price VAT reduction on new homes until the end of the year. France, on the other hand, remained firm in third place, attracting exactly the same number of enquiries in November and October, demonstrating the country’s consistent appeal to investors.

Managing Director Dan Johnson comments: “After climbing three places in as many months, the US continues to attract more and more overseas investors. Florida remains a popular lifestyle choice and with US houses the most affordable they have been in 15 years, the troubled Eurozone just can’t compete with the low price of American real estate. It’s no coincidence that the US is the only country to rise above the four familiar European markets.

As Spain’s reign ends, America’s dominance begins. Indeed, while the industry speculates about the impact of the Euro upon the rest of the world, North America’s rise to first place is exactly the kind of stimulant the US housing market needs

If Spain had kept the Peseta……..

If Spain had kept the Peseta would the property crisis have been as bad?

If Spain had kept the Peseta the bubble would never have been so big, claims Max Otte, an economics professor and fund manager who forecast the crisis in a book published in 2006.

Otte explains that low interest rates that came with Euro-zone membership are the root of the problem. Egged on by the banks, Spaniards binged on cheap mortgage credit and drove the property market into a frenzy, making a traumatic bust inevitable.

Given where we are now, Spain would have been better off with higher interest rates and steady growth outside the Euro-zone, argues Otte in comments reported in the Spanish press. The boom years were no worth this bust.

He also claims it’s only a matter of time before Greece abandons the Euro, and recommends that Spain does so too. The Euro has been a waste of time and money, says Otte.

Spanish property bargains

Property bargains in Spain and Tenerife

Despite dramatic property price reductions by many vendors across Spain, bargain hunters are taking advantage of the weak Spanish property market and are offering considerably below asking prices, fresh research shows.

 The latest figures provided by Idealista reveals that in September, the average offer made online through the Spanish property portal was 21.7% below the asking price. Having analysed over 500,000 offers since January 2011, Idealista’s research found that January, March and September are the months with the greatest volume of offers made by purchasers, whilst June was the weakest month in terms of demand. Spanish property investment opportunities The majority of Spanish property investors – 73% – believe that the Spanish property market will improve within the next 18 months, according to a new survey.

The latest study by international property consultants CB Richard Ellis found that three in four Spanish property investors expect market conditions to improve, despite the fact that prices are still falling across many parts of the country. The latest property investment barometer from CB Richard Ellis showed that Spain is expected to improve in early 2013, while 57% of those surveyed said they planned to invest in the Spanish property market within the next 6 months. The majority of investors are interested in buying commercial properties, rather than residential, with half of investors looking to buy offices, while 40% are interested in prime shopping centres. Just 7% of investors said that they plan to buy residential property.

A lack of mortgage liquidity remains a major stumbling block in Spain, which is why three in five investors believe that foreign investors with greater access to financing will drive the market recovery. Take advantage of the weak Spanish property market Domestic investors are taking centre stage in Spain’s investment market making up 66.2% of investors in Q1-Q3 2011, up from 33.3% in the same period in 2010 according to international real estate advisor Savills. Total volume in Spain’s investment market totalled almost €1.25bn (£1.07bn) in the first three quarters of 2011. The firm notes that as well as ongoing sales of large mixed use portfolios which banks are attempting to remove from their balance sheets, local authorities are also selling assets to gain liquidity.

Both the Andalusian and Catalan Regional Governments have portfolios on the market, including well-located office assets, which Savills observes are attracting interest from both opportunistic and core investors. Danny Kinnoch, international investment director Savills Spain, says: “In recent times there has been a two tier market with opportunistic investors focused on portfolio and large scale individual deals while the more traditional core investors remain focused on well-located, high-quality assets with high occupancy rates and solvent tenants on long-term lease contracts. Domestic investors continue to dominate the core market but international players remain on the lookout for opportune deals.” According to Savills major international players including Orion, RREEF, Generali Lend Lease, Doughty Hanson, AXA, Perella Weinberg and Rockspring have all been active this year. Savills has observed increased investor interest in Spain’s hotels market, a shift from the historically dominant retail and office markets and a reflection of the strength of tourism in a challenging economic climate. Key deals in the first three quarters of 2011 include Grupo Millenium’s purchase of two hotel assets, Hesperia Madrid from Hesperia for €80m (£69m) and Tryp Centro Norte from Colonial for €30m (£27m), both in Madrid as well as Mansion Services’ acquisition of Intercontinental Madrid from Morgan Stanley for approximately €68m (£58m). The total investment volume Q1-Q3 represents a fall of 52% compared to the same period in 2010, but with more realistic pricing and improved market sentiment Savills expects 2012 investment volumes to improve on 2011. Kinnoch says: “With an improvement in market sentiment in relation to other Euro countries combined with more realistic pricing taking into account the macro-economic situation in Spain, we expect 2012 investment volumes to exceed those of 2011.”

Spain’s credit rating cut

Spain's credit downgraded

Spain has had its credit rating cut by Moody’s this week, following similar decisions from other agencies Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Rating. Moody’s downgraded the south European nation by two notches, from A2 to A1, noting that this decision was partly due to “the downside risks from a potential further escalation of the euro area crisis”.

The Spanish government stated that it believes the ratings downgrade is based more on the short-term problems in Europe, rather than the “long-term fundamental outlook” for the country.

Europe not at risk of slipping into another recession.

Europe not at risk of entering recession again

Europe is not at risk of slipping into another recession and the euro region will attract new members rather than break up, the secretary general of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development predicted yesterday.

“I think more countries will be joining the euro,” Angel Gurria said. “The euro and Europe will remain the largest trading bloc in the world for a long time to come.”

Efforts by European leaders to stop the spread of the region’s debt crisis by strengthening its EFSF rescue fund are also likely to succeed, he said. The size of the EFSF should be more than doubled to at least €1 trillion to provide a bigger safety net, he added.

The eurozone will not be able to collectively issue bonds any time soon: “It’s not going to happen,” he said. “To mutualise the risk it requires a much more important level of political integration, which is not there yet.”

Source: Independent.ie

Vendors need to come to terms with drop in sale prices

Vendors need to come to terms with falling property prices in Tenerife

The vast majority of private vendors still haven’t come to terms with the drop in the value of their properties, argues José Luis Jimeno, MD of Noteges – a real estate and executive education portal.

According to Jimeno, pictured above, only vendors who drop their asking price 40pc to 50pc below the competition in their area have a hope of selling. As a result, 80pc of private vendors are asking prices that are out of the market.

Vendors on the coast, where there is a large glut of holiday homes, are even worse off. To make a sale, they will have to accept offers 60pc to 65pc below the prices they are asking today, he claims. “Private vendors are still trying to sell at boom prices,” says Jimeno, quoted in the Spanish press.

But Jimeno is not the only expert with something to say about asking prices. Juan Fernández-Aceytuno, MD of Sociedad de Tasación, one of Spain’s leading appraisal companies, recently said that sales close on average 15pc below asking prices, according to another recent article in the Spanish press. If he is right, then asking prices are not so far from reality as Jimeno suggests

Looking ahead Jimeno expects house prices to continue falling thanks to the bleak economic outlook in Spain.

His advice to vendors is far from sugar-coated. “It’s not a good time to sell, but if you have no alternative then make the sale now, because with every passing day your home will be worth less.”

That advice is particularly relevant to British vendors, who have to take into consideration exchange rates. The Euro is still strong against the Pound, benefiting British vendors repatriating capital to the UK, but the way things are going in the Eurozone, that might all change.