Tinsa shows house price index down by 8pc in 2011

Tinsa shows property sales in Tenerife and Spain down in 2011

Spain’s most reliable house price index fell 8.1pc in 2011, making last year almost as bad as the crisis year of 2008, when prices fell 8.8pc. There is a clear double-dip in the curve with price falls accelerating again after staging a feeble recovery last year.

One of the reasons house price declines have picked up speed is because of the return of the credit crunch in Spain. The double-dip in house prices is mirrored almost exactly by a double dip in new mortgage lending.  In coastal areas where holiday homes and much of the glut are concentrated finished the year better than other areas, with prices down 7.2pc over 12 months, compared to 9.1pc in cities and 8pc on the islands such as Tenerife.

Some experts argue that popular coastal areas will recover before the rest of the market thanks to diversified international demand from economies doing better than Spain

Lowest level of quarterly sales since crisis began but Canary Islands buck the trend

Canary Islands buck the trend of falling Property sales in Spain

The lowest level of quarterly sales occurred since the crisis began, according to figures from the property register.

There were 84,852 homes sold in Spain between July and September, 31.9pc less than the same period last year and 9.3pc less than the previous quarter. It was the lowest quarterly level of sales since the data series began.

 Q4 may well be another record low, but after that  the market is expected to  bottom out in the course of 2012. Which is not to say there will be a strong recovery after that , but at least the market will have stopped shrinking.

However, if the credit crunch gets worse, then we could still find major problems as  mortgage financing is the key to any market recovery. However parts of the  Canary Islands have bucked the trend and may well continue to do so as  tourism increases in 2012

Euribor Rate

Euribor down again which means mortgage repayments up in Spain and Tenerife

Euribor(12 months), the interest rate normally used to calculate mortgage repayments in Spain, fell for the third month in a row to 2.044pc in November, a percentage fall of -3.1pc on the previous month.

After rising abruptly in the first quarter of the year, Euribor has been stable or declining since May in expectation of a cut in the base rate.

Mario Draghi, the new Governor of the European Central Bank (ECB), announced a cut in base rates of a quarter of a point to 1.25% just a few days after taking over from Trichet at the beginning of November. In the face of alarming economic headwinds, markets expect the ECB to cut the base rate even further, hence the fall in Euribor.

When the Euribor goes  down, mortgage payments  go up.The fall in Euribor will not be much immediate comfort for those with an annually resetting mortgage. Euribor is now 33pc higher than it was 12 months ago, meaning repayments on the average mortgage will rise by 400 Euros/year.

The Credit Crunch is back in Spain with a vengeance. New mortgage lending fell 42pc in September year-on-year (to 30,808), and the average value fell 6pc to €111,934, according to figures from the Statistics Institute (INE). Lower mortgage lending = less money chasing homes , downward pressure on prices and more bad news for vendors.

Euribor rate rises

Euribor rates rises again in Spain and Tenerife

Euribor (12 months), the interest rate normally used to calculate mortgage repayments in Spain, rose to 2.11pc in October , a percentage increase of 2.1pc on the previous month.

Over 12 months Euribor was up 41.1pc, which means higher monthly mortgage payments for those with annually resetting Spanish mortgages. Average mortgage repayments will rise by around €45/month, €540/year

New mortgage lending is the lifeblood of the housing market without which most Spaniards cannot afford to buy homes. So it is particularly worrying that new lending fell 49pc in August compared to a year before, the lowest level on record for this data series published by the Statistics Institute (INE). New mortgage lending has now fallen for 16 consecutive months, suggesting that the credit crunch is still alive and well in Spain.

The average new mortgage value in August was €106,922, 12.6pc lower than a year before.

Investors sticking to proven locations like Tenerife following global market downturn.

The index which tracks the level of interest in certain properties and countries from visitors to the site has seen changes.

British buyers stick with traditional locations like Tenerife after the credit crunch.

British buyers stick with traditional locations like Tenerife after the credit crunch.

The United States was knocked off the top spot in August’s Investment Property watch chart

France, a favourite with British investors and holidaymakers,claimed victory in August.

Industry experts are busy predicting that traditional locations will emerge victorious from the global market downturn and that is good news for Tenerife. Mortgage specialist, Conti, found that British investors are sticking to ‘proven’ locations that offer less risk. Spain is a  traditional hotspot. The credit crunch has been particularly hard on Spain, with hoards of unsold apartments lying unfinished as developers fell foul of the credit crunch. Now, huge discounts have led to the bargain hunters circling again, pushing demand for Spanish property back up.

For France and Spain, enquiries have increased considerably with the countries accounting for 53 per cent of all 2009 enquiries so far, compared with 29 per cent in the same period last year. British buyers are sticking to the more traditional overseas locations, especially those with history of providing good rental returns. The smart investor is no longer simply looking to where the best bargains for a swift return can be found, but to where security lies for a longer term investment and Tenerife certainly meets these criteria. perhaps it is time to visit your Tenerife estate agent and see what bargains are available again.